Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    US monthly PCE price index beats forecasts, rising 0.4% vs 0.3% expected in December

    Hot inflation surprise: December PCE rose 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast, hinting stubborn price pressures. Markets now expect fewer 2026 rate cuts, boosting dollar strength while raising volatility risk for tech. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US personal spending rose 0.4% in December, in line with economists’ forecasts

    US consumers kept spending steady in December, up 0.4% as expected—calming markets, supporting a patient Fed, lowering volatility, shifting focus to inflation, and signaling risk as savings drop. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In December, US core PCE inflation rose 0.4% month on month, beating the 0.3% forecast

    Core PCE rose 0.4% in December, beating forecasts and signaling sticky inflation. Markets now expect fewer 2026 Fed rate cuts, boosting Treasury volatility and favoring swing-focused options strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In December, US personal income rose 0.3% month on month, in line with economists’ expectations

    US personal income rose 0.3% in December, matching forecasts—no shock, less fear. With the Fed staying patient and VIX near 14, expect calmer markets, premium-selling setups, and steady consumer spending. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US core PCE inflation rose to 3% year on year in December, exceeding the 2.9% forecast

    US core PCE hit 3% vs 2.9% expected, stoking “higher for longer” fears. Fading March rate-cut odds are boosting dollar strength, lifting VIX, and driving volatility in SOFR options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    The preliminary US February S&P Global PMI data will be released at 14:45 GMT, potentially affecting EUR/USD volatility

    Friday’s US flash PMI could boost the dollar: services and manufacturing are expected to rise. EUR/USD broke 1.1766 support; below the 20-day EMA, traders eye 1.1670 and bearish options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Buoyant UK sales and PMI lift sterling, pushing EUR/GBP lower despite stronger Eurozone PMI support

    EUR/GBP slipped as booming UK retail sales and strong PMIs lifted Sterling, while Eurozone data failed to inspire. Despite a weekly rise, traders may target 0.8550 via puts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Baur says Australia’s strong jobs and 4.1% unemployment are tempered by weak wage growth, limiting AUD gains

    Australia adds 17,800 jobs and holds 4.1% unemployment, backing an RBA hike. But wages match inflation, limiting real gains. Commerzbank sees one more hike, capping AUD upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say gold is hovering near $5,000/oz, with further upside risks amid geopolitical reassessment

    Gold near $5,000/oz stays buoyant as US-Iran tensions and central-bank buying fuel demand. Rate-cut hopes add support. Elevated volatility favors options: call spreads for upside, covered calls for income. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say gold is hovering near $5,000/oz, with further upside risks as geopolitics are reassessed

    Gold nears $5,000/oz as US-Iran tension and rate-cut hopes fuel demand. Central banks keep buying, but volatility stays high. Hook: trade spikes with call spreads, sell covered calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

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