Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    France’s HCOB February manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.9, below the 51.4 forecast

    France’s Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 49.9, signaling contraction and spooking markets. Investors may hedge via CAC 40 puts, short EUR/USD, go long Bunds, and bet on rising volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In February, France’s HCOB services PMI rose to 49.6, beating forecasts of 49.

    France’s Services PMI rose to 49.6, beating forecasts but still contracting. The slowdown hints at resilience, supporting the CAC 40 and euro, complicating ECB cuts, and keeping option volatility elevated. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Pesole at ING says oil price surges may weaken EUR/USD toward 1.160, despite risk-off support for the dollar

    Oil spikes could hit the euro hard. ING estimates every $5 jump in Brent may cut EUR/USD about 1%. With Europe importing energy and tensions rising, downside risk grows. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Gold stays above $5,000 as cautious buyers await US data amid mixed fundamentals

    Gold hovers above $5,000 as investors watch GDP/PCE, Fed rates, and Middle East tensions. Fast-forward to 2026: inflation cools, cuts loom, and traders favor bullish calls or spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Danske analysts say softer Japanese inflation could delay Bank of Japan rate hikes, despite strong demand signaled by PMIs and fiscal policy

    Japan inflation cooled sharply: January CPI 1.5%, core 2.0% (two-year low), clouding BoJ rate-hike timing. Strong PMIs and wage talks clash, boosting USD/JPY volatility and option plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    After strong UK retail sales in January, sterling erased earlier losses, leaving GBP/USD near 1.3460 in Europe

    UK retail sales surged, lifting GBP/USD despite weak technicals. Now (2026) sales jump again as UK inflation stays high, supporting rates. Watch UK/US PMI and GDP; consider bullish GBP/USD call spread. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    UK public sector net borrowing in January was lower than forecast at £-30.366B, versus an expected £-23.1B

    UK borrowing beat forecasts with a £30.366bn January surplus—£7.266bn stronger than expected—boosting fiscal headroom. Expect lower gilt yields, potential sterling upside, and improved outlook for UK equities, with inflation risks. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Sweden’s fourth-quarter capacity utilisation fell to -0.6%, down from -0.2% in the previous quarter

    Sweden’s factory use just slipped further: capacity utilisation fell to -0.6% in Q4 2025. Expect rising Riksbank cut bets, weaker SEK, choppier OMXS30, and stronger government bonds. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Germany’s annual producer prices fell 3% in January, below the expected 2.1% decline

    Germany’s producer prices plunged 3% in January, beating forecasts and hinting at deeper slowdown. Traders now eye earlier ECB rate cuts, weaker euro, DAX upside, and rising volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Germany’s January producer price index fell 0.6% month on month, below the 0.3% forecast

    Germany’s PPI dropped 0.6% in January, crushing forecasts and deepening deflation fears. Expect a dovish ECB, lower-rate trades, weaker DAX and euro, and rising volatility opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

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