Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    Mary Daly says the Federal Reserve’s policy is well positioned, expressing confidence in current monetary settings and direction

    Fed’s Daly once said policy was “in a good place” after 75bp cuts. Now inflation and jobs are hotter, markets expect steady rates, volatility looks cheap, and the dollar remains strong. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    AUD/JPY hovers near 109.00 as Australia raises rates to 3.85%, widening the gap with Japan’s policy stance

    AUD/JPY hovers near 109 as RBA stays hawkish and BoJ lags, boosting yield appeal. Jobs steady, iron ore and China help. Key levels: 108 support, 110.79 breakout targets 112. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    S&P Global reports Australia’s preliminary February manufacturing PMI fell to 51.5 from 52.3

    Australia’s PMIs slipped but still show growth, while stubborn inflation revives RBA hike bets. AUD/USD has fallen near 0.6700, boosting options appeal: calls for upside, straddles for volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s monthly trade deficit narrowed to NZ$519m in January, beating expectations of NZ$745m

    New Zealand’s January trade deficit beat forecasts, signaling stronger exports and boosting NZD optimism. China PMI, dairy prices, and high rates support bullish trades—yet watch risk sentiment and inflation. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s annual trade balance slipped to a $2.3B deficit in January, from a $2.2B deficit

    New Zealand’s trade deficit widened to NZD -2.3bn, signaling NZD headwinds. Weaker exports, China slowdown, and possible RBNZ cuts boost bearish NZD/USD setups like puts or NZD/AUD shorts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global manufacturing PMI eased from 52.3 to 51.5, signalling slower factory growth momentum in February

    Australia’s Manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.5, signaling slower growth. That’s a warning for ASX gains and the Aussie dollar—boosting the case for hedges, commodity downside bets, and volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global composite PMI fell in February, easing to 52 from 55.7 in the prior month

    Australia’s PMI slid to 52 from 55.7—still growing, but slowing fast. That could force a less hawkish RBA, pressuring stocks and AUD, boosting bonds, volatility, and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global Services PMI eased from 56.3 to 52.2, signalling slower services expansion in February

    Australia’s Services PMI slipped to 52.2, signaling slower growth. Cooling momentum may rule out RBA hikes, boost rate-cut bets, pressure the Aussie dollar, and raise volatility—time to hedge. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s exports fell to $6.21B from $7.65B the previous month

    New Zealand exports plunged 18.8% to $6.21B in January, flashing weaker demand. Expect NZD/USD pressure: consider short exposure via puts, RBNZ dovish-rate bets, or hedging with long AUD/NZD. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s imports fell to $6.73B from $7.6B, reflecting a month-on-month decline

    New Zealand imports fell sharply to $6.73b in January, down $0.87b. This hints cooling demand, earlier RBNZ rate cuts, and possible NZD and stock market declines—prompting traders to hedge. – vtmarketsmy.com

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