Jobless claims dropped to 206K, lifting the dollar near four-week highs as traders eye Core PCE, GDP, and PMIs. FX diverged on central-bank outlooks; gold stayed supported by record buying. – vtmarketsmy.com
India’s trade deficit hit $34.7bn as gold imports surged, once keeping USD/INR near 90–91. Now it’s ~92.5: Fed rates, FPI outflows, and higher volatility fuel rupee weakness. – vtmarketsmy.com
Argentina’s trade surplus shocked at $1.99bn vs $0.9bn, easing peso pressure. With inflation falling, stabilization strengthens. Consider peso-friendly trades: sell USD/ARS OTM calls; buy ARGT call spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com
Industrial metals can’t reclaim early highs as weak demand and deflation persist, especially in China. Rising inventories, Indonesia’s nickel quota cut, and falling import prices signal more downside—dragging metals-linked currencies too. – vtmarketsmy.com
Thailand’s central bank may cut rates 25 bps to 1.00% on Feb 25, 2026—seen as the cycle’s floor. Expect weaker baht; traders may use swaps or USD/THB calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/CHF jumps as US jobless claims drop, boosting Fed-hold expectations. Swiss output contracts, widening policy gap. Friday’s core PCE could spark a breakout above 0.7834—or send prices back under 0.7700. – vtmarketsmy.com
BSP cut rates to 4.25%, but the bigger story is its neutral pivot, hinting at more cuts. Softer growth, weak spending, and uncertainty may weaken the peso and shift trading strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/JPY hovers near 155, supported by strong US data and hawkish Fed minutes ahead of Japan CPI. BoJ’s slow hikes keep yen weak, fueling 160+ upside—watch intervention risk. – vtmarketsmy.com
Crude inventories plunged 9 million barrels versus a 2 million build expected—an eye-opening bullish shock. Higher refinery runs, strong exports, and upbeat jobs data signal tighter oil supplies and rising WTI/Brent prices. – vtmarketsmy.com
Stocks slipped as Fed minutes signaled “higher for longer,” delaying rate cuts. Strong jobless claims and upcoming GDP/PCE could spark volatility. Oil and gold jumped on Iran risks; sector and credit cracks emerged. – vtmarketsmy.com
Hello there 👋
On hold
Hello there 👋
Scan the QR code with your smartphone to start a chat with us, or click here.
Don’t have the Telegram App or Desktop installed? Use Web Telegram instead.
