Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    Commerzbank says divisions in Poland’s coalition keep political risk elevated, and the zloty continues to lag despite reassurances

    Poland’s coalition infighting is back—and markets notice. Despite Tusk’s stability claims, the zloty lags peers as EUR/PLN hits 4.42. Rising option volatility signals turbulence; consider hedges and volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    WTI hits a six-month high as rising US-Iran tensions fuel fears of Middle East supply disruptions

    Oil just hit a six-month high near $66 as US-Iran tensions fuel supply fears at Hormuz. Volatility is soaring; traders eye $70 or a drop below $62, using options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Kashkari calls crypto “utterly useless” and expects resilient jobs and AI-led productivity gains soon

    Resilient US jobs and firm wages hint fewer 2026 rate cuts, keeping yields high. Kashkari defends Fed independence, touts AI productivity, slams crypto—shaping trades in bonds, tech volatility, and bearish crypto plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    The US EIA reported that natural gas storage fell by 144B, exceeding expectations for a 146B drop

    Surprise EIA gas draw: -144 Bcf vs -146 forecast signals weaker demand and bearish prices. With inventories 15% above average and record output, traders eye shorts—unless a sudden arctic blast shocks. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    In February, eurozone consumer confidence fell to -12.2, below the -11.8 forecast, disappointing economists

    Eurozone confidence sank to -12.2, missing forecasts and signaling a gloomier outlook. With spending already slipping, stocks may stall and the euro weaken—consider put options on Euro indices and EUR/USD. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Rabobank’s Michael Every says America’s maritime action plan shifts trade from rules-based free trade to bloc-based neomercantilism

    US Maritime Action Plan may end free-trade norms, targeting China’s shipbuilding dominance. Expect bloc warfare, higher freight costs, inflation pressure, and volatility; traders eye VIX calls, shipping bets, SOFR futures, and yuan risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    US pending home sales fell 0.4% year on year in January, improving from a 3% decline

    Pending home sales barely dipped 0.4% in January, beating forecasts. Housing resilience plus strong jobs may delay Fed cuts, lift builders and stocks, but sticky inflation keeps markets jumpy. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    US pending home sales fell 0.8% month on month in January, missing forecasts of a 1.3% rise

    US pending home sales unexpectedly fell 0.8% in January, signaling a slowing housing recovery. High mortgage rates squeeze buyers, boosting rate-cut bets, pressuring housing stocks, and potentially weakening the dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    TD Securities expects eurozone PMIs to show a rebound in France’s services and an improvement in Germany’s manufacturing, backed by defence spending.

    Eurozone PMIs hint at a fragile France-Germany rebound, still below 50. With inflation sticky and growth weak, traders eye sideways DAX plays, rate-cut skepticism, and cheap volatility protection. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Gold trades flat below $5,000, held back by a strong US dollar, Fed hawkishness and geopolitical tensions

    Gold stalled near $5,000 as strong US data lifted the dollar and hawkish Fed minutes hinted rates stay high. Rising Iran strike fears and tight ranges suggest an imminent breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com

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