Canada’s exports jumped to $65.63B in December, signaling economic strength. With inflation at 2.9%, rate cuts may slip, boosting the loonie and pressuring USD/CAD toward 1.3300. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s December imports rose to $66.93B, signaling resilient demand. This could delay Bank of Canada cuts, boost the Canadian dollar, and create opportunities in CAD bullish trades, CORRA options, and consumer equities. – vtmarketsmy.com
Jobless claims hit 1.869M, slightly above forecasts—hinting a cooling labor market. But sticky 3.2% CPI muddies rate-cut timing. Expect volatility; consider long-vol options as Fed cut odds jump. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s new home prices unexpectedly fell 0.4% in January, raising odds of a Bank of Canada rate cut. That’s bearish for CAD, favoring USD/CAD calls and hedges on banks. – vtmarketsmy.com
US goods trade deficit widened to $99.3B in December, signaling dollar weakness and slower growth. With retail sales down and yields falling, consider hedges: short USD, long Treasuries, buy VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
US wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in December, exactly as forecast—no surprises. This steady signal hints at a calm, range-bound market, easing Fed pressure and favoring low-volatility, time-decay trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Jobless claims stayed ultra-low at 219,000—signaling a tight labor market. With inflation at 3.2%, the Fed likely keeps rates “higher for longer,” limiting stocks, supporting yields, and raising volatility-hedge appeal. – vtmarketsmy.com
Surprise Philly Fed surge to 16.3 (vs 8.5) signals stronger factories, cooling rate-cut bets. Expect firmer Treasury yields, stronger dollar, higher equity volatility; favor industrials/materials, use protective options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Jobless claims hit 206K, far below 225K forecasts, signaling a tight labor market. With inflation sticky, rate cuts may slip to Q3. Traders eye bond puts and VIX options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Trade deficit shock: -$70.3B vs -$55.5B expected. Strong US spending meets weak global demand, pressuring the dollar, stirring Fed rate volatility, and reshaping winners: domestic firms up, exporters down. – vtmarketsmy.com
Hello there 👋
On hold
Hello there 👋
Scan the QR code with your smartphone to start a chat with us, or click here.
Don’t have the Telegram App or Desktop installed? Use Web Telegram instead.
