Live Updates

    19 February 2026
    Spain’s 10-year Obligaciones auction yield falls to 3.167% from 3.223%

    Spain’s 10-year bond yield fell to 3.167% from 3.223%, signaling stronger demand. Cooling inflation and tighter CDS spreads suggest ECB rates peaked, supporting bullish bonds, Spanish equities, and trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Under current rules, Schleich and Currie say the Fed has little room to further shrink its $6.5tn balance sheet

    Fed’s $6.5T balance sheet may be stuck: reserves and Treasury cash needs limit further shrinking without deregulation. QT likely stays paused, volatility may stay low, and T-bill reinvestment could steepen yields. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    During European hours, XAG/USD holds above the 50-day EMA near $79.20 after two straight sessions of gains

    Silver is coiling near $79 between key moving averages, hinting at a volatility breakout. Above $79.26 targets $121.66; below $78.95 risks $64.08. Options strategies may benefit. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Forecasts were exceeded as the Eurozone’s seasonally adjusted current account hit €14.6B in December

    Eurozone data surprised up: December current account surplus hit €14.6bn vs €9.2bn forecast, January PMI rose to 51.2, and core inflation stayed 2.6%—fueling bullish EUR, Euro Stoxx 50, and less dovish ECB bets. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    The eurozone’s non-seasonally adjusted current account rose to €34.6B in December, up from €12.6B previously.

    Eurozone current account surplus surged to €34.6B in December from €12.6B—fueling a bullish euro case. Falling energy costs and strong exports could lift EUR/USD, European stocks, and rate-hike bets. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Markets closely monitor geopolitics as the US dollar steadies, holding on to earlier weekly gains

    Hawkish Fed minutes lifted the dollar and rattled markets. Iran strike risks boosted gold, while jobs data stayed strong. Traders watch key releases, intervention risk, and cross-currency opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Bank Indonesia keeps policy rate unchanged at 4.75%, in line with market expectations

    No surprise from Bank Indonesia: rates stay at 4.75%. Inflation is tame (2.9%) and GDP strong (5.1%), calming rupiah volatility and keeping USD/IDR range-bound near 15,850—until global shocks hit. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects UK inflation to unsettle the BoE as services and core CPI exceed forecasts

    UK inflation surprised hotter, especially services and core, making a March Bank of England rate cut doubtful. Markets repriced sharply, potentially supporting sterling and flattening yields despite weaker jobs and easing expectations. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    In January, Switzerland’s trade surplus rose sharply from 1,036M to 3,818M

    Switzerland’s trade surplus surged to 3,818m in January, supercharging a bullish CHF outlook. Strong exports and rising PMI hint SNB holds rates; consider CHF and SMI calls, but watch ECB volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Blue Owl Capital’s quarterly revenue rose 13.5% year on year to $447.75 million, while EPS fell to $0.36

    Blue Owl’s Q4 2025 revenue surged 13.5% and beat estimates, but EPS fell to $0.36. Strong interest income clashes with warning signs, setting up volatile stock moves and options opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

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