Live Updates

    19 February 2026
    NZD/USD falls as RBNZ keeps OCR unchanged and uses a cautious tone to curb rate-hike expectations

    RBNZ shocked markets by holding rates at 2.25% and pushing hikes to 2026–27, sending NZD below 0.6000. Watch key data, Fed speakers, and support near 0.5907. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    U.S. API weekly crude oil stocks fell by 0.609 million, reversing the prior week’s 13.4 million rise

    Oil traders, take note: API reports US crude stocks fell 0.609M barrels after a 13.4M surge. Polar vortex demand and higher refinery runs tighten supply, boosting volatility and prices. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Yu says global portfolios now hold Latin American sovereign debt at multi-year highs, above 2023 peaks

    Latin American sovereign bonds are crowded, with holdings near 1.2% and above 2023 highs. As U.S. yields rise, easy gains fade—hedge via puts and FX options; shifts hinge on fundamentals. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    U.S. net long-term TIC flows fell to $28B in December, down from $220.2B previously, reflecting reduced inflows

    Foreign buying of long-term US securities collapsed to $28bn from $220bn—a red flag for the dollar. Expect higher Treasury yields, volatility, and equity pullback risk; consider hedges: short USD, bond puts, VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    U.S. total net TIC flows fell to $44.9bn from $212bn previously, according to December data

    Foreign demand for U.S. assets plunged: net TIC inflows fell to $44.9bn in December from $212bn. That warning could weaken the dollar, push Treasury yields higher, and spark volatility hedging. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Elliott’s activist stake lifts Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings 12%, challenging year-long resistance

    Elliott’s 10%+ stake sparked a 12% NCLH surge on triple volume, pushing shares toward stubborn $25 resistance. With March 2 earnings, traders eye calls, spreads, volatility plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Since late last month’s earnings, Tesla’s head-and-shoulders pattern triggered an 11.5% drop, followed by a 12.7% rebound

    Tesla whipsawed after earnings as a head-and-shoulders pattern hints at a possible drop toward $276. With deliveries missing estimates, traders eye puts or call spreads—always managing risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Following a firmer USD after the FOMC minutes, attention shifts to reports of a possible early ECB departure for Lagarde

    Lagarde may exit the ECB early, boosting euro uncertainty as the Fed stays flexible. Dollar strength pressures majors, gold wobbles near $4,980, and Friday’s Core PCE could trigger big moves. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Taborsky says EUR/HUF is near two-year lows and the forint is at highs, despite expected NBH rate cuts ahead

    EUR/HUF nears two-year lows as the forint hits highs before NBH rate cuts. Risk-on flows and carry once helped, but aggressive 2025 easing flattened forwards, limiting further forint strength. – vtmarketsmy.com

    19 February 2026
    Rabobank says Japan’s trade scheme supports US investment projects, shifting partner capital into energy assets beyond markets

    Washington is steering foreign money into US “real assets.” Japan-backed LNG, oil, and diamond projects signal targeted investing, while a US–Argentina pact pressures EU–Mercosur—and traders may chase sector plays, hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

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