Live Updates

    18 February 2026
    US building permits exceeded forecasts in December, reaching 1.448 million vs 1.4 million expected in month-on-month data

    Building permits jumped to 1.448M in December, beating forecasts by 48K—signaling economic strength. This may delay Fed rate cuts, lift yields, boost housing-linked stocks, and increase volatility risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    US durable goods orders fell 1.4% in December, beating forecasts of a 2% decline

    US durable goods orders fell 1.4% in December, beating forecasts. Alongside strong job gains and sticky inflation, it signals resilience, delays Fed cuts, supports bullish ETF options, and lower volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes says crowded dollar shorts are faltering as DXY dips, but modest rebounds could reverse the trend

    Crowded bets against the dollar are peaking: euro longs hit a 2020 high and DXY needs just 1% to reclaim key averages. With resilient US data, options may beat risky shorts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Japan’s exports grew at their fastest pace since 2022, while the yen’s reaction was muted as USD/JPY edged lower

    Japan exports surged 16.8% in January, led by Asia, but the yen barely budged. High US-Japan rate gaps and $36bn US investments cap gains; insurer rule tweaks may ease pressure. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Despite cooler UK inflation, EUR/GBP falls as the euro weakens amid reports Lagarde may leave the ECB early

    EUR/GBP slipped as rumors about ECB chief Lagarde leaving sparked euro uncertainty. UK inflation cooled, boosting BoE cut bets. Watch PMIs/retail sales; some see dips near 0.8700 as buy. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    TD Securities says the US yield curve flattened on profit-taking as investors awaited data, FOMC minutes and a cautious Fed

    Treasury yields flattened as traders took profits and Fed officials stayed cautious on inflation. Now all eyes are on Wednesday’s data and FOMC minutes, shaping rate-cut timing and curve strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    EUR/USD hovers near lows as reports suggest ECB’s Lagarde may step down early, weighing on the euro

    EUR/USD stays under pressure as Lagarde exit rumors and Fed minutes loom. Wide US–Euro rate gaps favor the dollar; key GDP, PCE, inflation and jobs data could trigger volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    The dollar remains stronger against the yen, trading near 154.00 as markets await the Federal Reserve minutes

    USD/JPY is stuck near 153–154, but Fed minutes could spark a breakout. Softer US data hints rate cuts; Japan’s weak GDP boosts stimulus. Volatility trades rise. Trend may reverse. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says UK CPI beat January forecasts; services and core rose, but overall disinflation continues

    UK inflation surprised higher, led by stubborn services prices, muddying March’s Bank of England rate-cut call. With growth weak and volatility cheap, traders may eye GBP/USD straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    GBP/USD holds near 1.3570 during European trading as sterling rises after the January UK CPI release near 1.3580

    GBP/USD hovered near 1.3570 after a triangle breakdown as UK inflation cooled. Markets priced BoE cuts, keeping pressure on sterling. Low volatility makes puts, straddles, or put spreads attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com

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