Live Updates

    18 February 2026
    Silver tumbles nearly 5% as steady Treasury yields and a firm dollar push it to around $73.49

    Silver just slid 5% as the dollar held firm—watch $72. A break could target $70/$65, while rebound above $75 may aim for $80. Solar demand and longs support. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    BNP Paribas expects China’s GDP growth to be 5.0% in 2025, slowing in 2026 due to weak demand and property stress

    BNP Paribas sees China holding 5% GDP growth in 2025, then slowing in 2026 amid weak demand, property stress, deflation and protectionism—prompting defensive hedges, yuan downside plays and volatility strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Markets focus on the RBNZ’s 2026 policy decision, expecting the OCR to be held at 2.25%, alongside Governor Breman’s debut

    Markets brace for RBNZ’s first 2026 decision: likely hold at 2.25%, but new Governor Breman’s guidance could spark NZD/USD breakout from 0.6000–0.6094 amid hot CPI and key US data. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    After the RBA minutes, AUD/USD awaits major late-week data as policymakers stress decisions depend on risks

    RBA flags data-driven moves as markets eye another hike; key Aussie wages/jobs and US Fed minutes loom. AUD/USD struggles amid strong USD, weaker China demand, softer iron ore, tight support/resistance range. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Rabobank’s Michael Every says the RBA hiked 25 bps on stronger forecasts, as the IMF urges scrapping the 5% deposit scheme that’s inflating housing

    Australia faces a policy clash: the RBA signals more rate hikes as forecasts strengthen, while a 5% deposit homebuyer scheme fuels prices. Inflation stays high, markets reprice, and rates volatility rises. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    EUR/USD trades near 1.1845 as hawkish Fed sentiment and US-Iran tensions briefly boost the dollar

    EUR/USD dips as US-Iran tensions boost the dollar and strong US data cuts Fed-cut bets. Softer Eurozone indicators widen divergence. Watch FOMC minutes; bearish options target below 1.1800. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    New Zealand producer prices rose 0.1% in the fourth quarter, well below the 0.7% forecast

    New Zealand PPI barely rose, shocking forecasts and signaling fast-fading inflation. RBNZ hikes may be biting, shifting focus to earlier rate cuts, weaker NZD, and potential opportunities in puts and futures. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    In New Zealand, quarterly producer input prices fell 0.5%, missing forecasts for a 0.5% rise

    Surprise NZ data: PPI inputs fell 0.5% in Q4 vs a 0.5% rise expected, flashing deflation. That boosts rate-cut odds, pressures NZD, and may spark volatility ahead of RBNZ. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    TD Securities forecasts 2.3% US GDP growth in Q4 2025 as spending eases, outlays fall and exports weigh

    US growth is cooling: TD Securities sees Q4 2025 GDP at 2.3% as consumers, government spending, and exports weaken, while AI investment holds up. Volatility seems underpriced. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Commerzbank says Takaichi’s strong mandate allows proactive fiscal measures, including a temporary VAT cut on food

    Japan’s election shock boosts fiscal stimulus: Takaichi’s LDP landslide enables big budget moves, including a ¥5T food VAT cut, spiking USD/JPY volatility, likely weakening yen short-term—yet long-term fears may be overdone. – vtmarketsmy.com

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