Live Updates

    18 February 2026
    Despite strong ADP employment data, the US dollar gives up earlier gains as private hiring rises to 10.3K

    Jobs and inflation data nudged FX markets: US hiring improved, Canada CPI cooled, keeping DXY firm. Pound and yen weakened, gold stayed capped. Now DXY near 104.5 dominates. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Gold drops more than 3% as improving US-Iran negotiations boost the dollar, pushing XAU/USD to $4,869

    Gold plunged 3% as a stronger dollar, higher yields, and progress in US–Iran talks hit safe-haven demand. Fed cut bets fell, volatility jumped, and traders eye $4,800 support. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    BNY’s John Velis expects three Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, nearly one more than markets are pricing in

    Think the Fed will cut less? BNY’s Velis expects three cuts by 2026, citing narrow healthcare-driven job gains and easing inflation—creating a trade setup via SOFR, swaps, and long vol. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    Barr says US data suggests jobs are stabilising, but warns AI may cause short-term labour market disruptions

    Fed’s Barr says jobs look stable but shock-prone, inflation may cool yet stay above 2%. Rates likely on hold; AI won’t trigger cuts. Traders brace for “higher-for-longer” and calm volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    The S&P 500 stays range-bound; holding 6,780 supports an April peak and reflects Elliott Wave-driven sentiment cycles

    S&P 500 is coiling between 6780 support and 6985 resistance. Elliott Wave ending diagonal hints a final push to 7120–7190 unless 6780/6521 break. Low VIX makes breakout options attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    USD/JPY wavers near 153.40 as the yen strengthens on BoJ hike bets and the dollar steadies on the Fed outlook

    USD/JPY steadied near 153.40 as the dollar struggled and yen gained on BOJ hike bets. But policy diverged: pair now 168.50. Elevated volatility favors straddles, while carry trades remain attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    At the US 52-week bill auction, the yield slips to 3.345% from 3.39% previously

    Treasury’s 52-week bill yield slipped to 3.345%, hinting at stronger Fed rate-cut bets. Cooling inflation and jobs boost bullish tech trades, weaker dollar plays, and strategies targeting lower volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    WTI crude slips to about $62.50, down 1.80%, amid US-Iran talks and OPEC+ rumours

    Oil slides as traders watch Iran talks and Hormuz risks: WTI near $62.50, down 1.8%. OPEC+ supply hikes may return, but sanctions and limits temper output, keeping prices range-bound. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    After the holiday, investors sold tech as AI disruption fears and looming FOMC minutes pushed the Dow down 120 points

    Stocks slid as tech dragged indexes lower, while Treasury yields hit two-month lows. Big deals stirred volatility. With key Fed and inflation data ahead, traders eye hedges and options plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    18 February 2026
    RBC’s Nathan Janzen says softer January Canadian CPI gives the BoC more room to ease

    Canada inflation is cooling fast: CPI hit 2.3% and core dipped to 2.5%. That gives the Bank of Canada room to cut rates, potentially boosting bonds, stocks, and weakening the loonie. – vtmarketsmy.com

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