Live Updates

    17 February 2026
    Amazon resumes its decline after completing a wave four rebound, entering wave five toward Fibonacci downside targets

    AMZN’s bounce looks like a wave-4 correction—now wave 5 is driving a fresh selloff. Targets: 192.96 then 187.17. Weak retail sales, rising put/call, and AWS pressure favor bearish options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch says oil prices are rising as US–Iran tensions increase and OPEC+ supply expectations shift

    Oil is rising as Iran tensions and OPEC+ supply limits keep a price floor. April output hikes may disappoint, while Russia exports weaken. Traders eye call buys or put-selling strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee says services inflation remains high, but further 2026 interest-rate cuts are still possible

    Fed’s Goolsbee warns services inflation isn’t tame, despite hints of multiple 2026 rate cuts. Tariffs and base effects distort CPI. Sticky core services keep cuts uncertain—watch CPI; volatility hedges may pay. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Danske researchers say Sweden’s unemployment fell to 8.0%, lowering the odds of rate cuts and implying revisions

    Sweden’s unemployment surprise (8.0% vs 8.8%) signals a strong labor market, lowering near-term Riksbank cut odds. With inflation back near target, traders eye SEK strength versus EUR—watch March data. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    A recurring expansion-reset pattern has SPY and QQQ testing highs as they await breakout acceptance or a pullback rotation

    SPY and QQQ are back at a ceiling that’s held since 2021—breakout or reset? Watch weekly closes: QQQ often cracks first. Rising put/call warns caution; use defined-risk spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    After the RBA minutes, AUD/USD slips to around 0.7050 as the AUD weakens and the USD stays cautious ahead of the Fed minutes

    AUD/USD slips near 0.7050 as RBA minutes dodge clear rate guidance, pressuring the Aussie. Focus turns to jobs and CPI. Fed steadiness boosts USD; traders eye downside plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    TD Securities expects December PCE inflation to strengthen, with core and headline rising 0.25% and 0.27% month over month, nearing 3% year over year

    Inflation may be re-accelerating: TD Securities sees December PCE firming and tariffs lifting prices, keeping inflation sticky into early 2026. Markets are pricing fewer rate cuts, boosting volatility and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    In January, Canada’s headline CPI rose 2.3% year on year, below forecasts, while prices were unchanged month on month

    Canada’s inflation cooled to 2.3%, easing pressure on the Bank of Canada to hike. With core still hot, cuts look unlikely—setting up a steady USD/CAD climb and tactical options trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Pesole says the RBNZ’s November 2025 forecasts underplayed inflation as CPI data exceeded them, delaying rate cuts

    New Zealand inflation is running hotter than the RBNZ expected, raising doubts about past rate cuts. ING now sees no February move, but forecasts earlier hikes: two in 2026, one in 2027. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Canada’s core monthly CPI was unchanged at 0.2% in January, the same as the previous month

    Canada’s core inflation stuck at 0.2% in January, keeping annual pace near 2.4%. Strong jobs and wages weaken rate-cut hopes, supporting CAD, pressuring stocks, and boosting volatility hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

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