Canada’s January CPI was flat at 0%, missing forecasts. Markets now expect earlier Bank of Canada rate cuts, weakening the loonie, boosting stocks, rallying bonds, and favoring REIT/utility plays. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada inflation hit 2.3% in January, undershooting forecasts and boosting rate-cut bets. Expect weaker CAD, stronger USD/CAD, firmer bonds and rate-sensitive stocks—unless hot 4.5% wage growth delays cuts. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s core inflation flipped from -0.4% to +0.2% in January, shaking rate-cut hopes. Strong jobs and 2.6% core inflation push “higher-for-longer,” lifting the Canadian dollar outlook. – vtmarketsmy.com
Foreign investors dumped $5.57bn in Canadian securities in December, missing a $14.27bn inflow forecast. Biggest outflow in 18 months threatens loonie weakness, TSX pressure, echoing 2014-15 oil-linked capital flight. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s wholesale sales rose 2% in December, slightly missing forecasts—another cooling signal. With softer inflation and jobs, rate hikes look unlikely, boosting bets on a weaker loonie and protective hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s core CPI cooled to 2.6% in January, stoking bets the Bank of Canada will cut rates sooner. Markets price April cuts, pressuring CAD and shifting strategy toward rate and FX options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s core inflation just cooled to 2.6% from 2.8%—a key crack in BoC’s stance. Markets now expect spring rate cuts, weaker CAD, and fresh opportunities in rate and FX options. – vtmarketsmy.com
New York’s Empire State Manufacturing Index beat forecasts (7.1 vs 6), signaling stronger growth. Combined with sticky inflation and strong jobs, Fed cuts may slip. Consider higher-rate trades, cyclical upside, Nasdaq hedges, stronger dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/JPY slid to 207.28 as weak UK jobs data fuels BoE rate-cut bets. Yen stayed firm. Charts turn bearish below 210. Options favor breakouts: calls above 209, puts below 206.5. – vtmarketsmy.com
A tiny ADP bump in 2024 signaled surprising strength, delaying Fed cuts. Now 2026 data cools: 70% odds of May cut. Traders eye SOFR options, VIX hedges, and weaker dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
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