Live Updates

    17 February 2026
    Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish says a court paused Colombia’s wage hike, boosting sentiment on the peso

    Colombia’s top court froze Petro’s 23% wage hike, briefly boosting peso and bonds. But 7.8% inflation and politics keep rates higher-for-longer; traders now hedge with USD/COP calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    AUD stays subdued near 0.7072 against a stronger US dollar as traders await RBA minutes

    AUD/USD holds near 0.7072 after retreating from 0.7147 as holiday-thinned trade dulls moves. Traders eye Fed cut timing and RBA hikes, with jobs and inflation data set to jolt volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says China’s record Q4 2025 surplus adds to evidence the yuan is tightly managed

    Record Q4 2025 surplus and FDI surge should lift the yuan—but it didn’t. China’s tight currency controls and reserve buying keep USD/CNH volatility low, favoring range-bound strategies over breakouts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    With Fed cut expectations fading and geopolitical strains persisting, silver trades near $76.50, down 0.70%

    Silver slips to $76.50 amid profit-taking as easing US inflation meets a still-hawkish Fed. But 2026 may flip bullish: likely rate cuts, lingering geopolitics, and rising solar demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    With US markets shut, sterling dips in light liquidity; GBP/USD falls to 1.3635 ahead of UK CPI

    Pound slips in thin President’s Day trading as traders brace for UK CPI. With volatility rising, a surprise inflation print could trigger big GBP/USD swings—many are choosing options straddles/strangles. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    After dovish MPC cues, UK markets price a BoE cut next month as Bailey and Mann await data

    UK markets now price a Bank of England cut as soon as March after dovish MPC hints. Next week’s jobs, inflation, and sales data could confirm cooling—trade ideas target lower yields and weaker GBP. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Reuters poll shows economists expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.50% in March

    Markets are betting big on a Bank of England rate cut in March. Most economists expect 3.50%, with year-end 3.25%. Softer inflation, flat growth may weaken GBP and boost volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    With US markets closed, light trading drags GBP/USD lower in North America as investors await UK CPI

    Pound slips as thin trading and cooling US inflation shape rate-cut bets. UK jobs and CPI next could steer BoE cuts, pressuring sterling. Traders eye GBP/USD puts, watching volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    EUR/JPY rises toward 181.76 as weak Japan GDP weighs on the yen, while bears test the 100-day SMA

    Weak Japan GDP sparked a yen slide and lifted EUR/JPY. With ECB rates far above BOJ, carry trades dominate, pushing near 192. Watch 190 support; options traders favor bullish put-selling strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Dev Ashish at Societe Generale says cheap post-2022–24 valuations could drive equity inflows into Brazil in 2026

    Brazil’s 2026 equity surge draws $5.9bn, beating 2025, as cheap valuations, rate cuts, and strong earnings fuel optimism. But election-driven fiscal uncertainty could spike volatility—hedge while chasing upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

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