Live Updates

    16 February 2026
    Sterling-dollar holds near 1.3640 at its 20-day EMA, ahead of UK labour data for the December quarter

    GBP/USD is stuck near key averages, waiting on UK jobs and wages data. Strong numbers could support the pound; weak data risks a sharp drop. Traders eye options for volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Leow says traders are rethinking the US rate outlook as 10-year yields near 4% amid strong jobs and softer inflation

    Volatility is resetting rate expectations: a “Goldilocks” US economy keeps yields near 4% and pushes Fed cuts to late 2026. Traders reprice SOFR, brace for higher-for-longer, and watch labor, CPI. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    MUFG’s Lee Hardman says strong US jobs reduce the urgency for Fed rate cuts, but falling inflation could allow easing in 2026

    Jobs growth cools pressure for quick Fed cuts, but inflation is easing. With tariffs fading and global money rotating away from US assets, traders may target a weaker dollar in 2026. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    As the yen weakens, GBP rises for a second day and tests resistance at 209.60

    GBP/JPY rebounds as weak Japan GDP sinks the yen, testing 209.60 resistance. A break targets 210.54–211.65, but UK jobs data may shake markets. Options offer upside with limited risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    AUD/USD climbs toward 0.7090 in Europe as the Australian dollar rebounds; investors await the RBA minutes release

    Aussie dollar ticks up to 0.7090 as traders await RBA minutes and jobs data. But year-on-year, weaker Aussie rates, softer employment, and a stronger USD cap gains. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    OCBC strategists say equity market turmoil is boosting the Swiss franc as EUR/CHF stabilises well below 0.92

    Swiss franc surges amid market turmoil, pushing EUR/CHF below 0.92. OCBC warns this could drag inflation under SNB forecasts, testing tolerance. Watch March 19 meeting; dovish hints may lift EUR/CHF. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    India’s January trade deficit beat forecasts, hitting $34.68B vs. $26.14B expected

    India’s January trade deficit unexpectedly surged to $34.68bn, slamming the rupee. Costly oil imports and weak exports raise inflation, volatility, and trading opportunities in USD/INR, bonds, and sector stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Oil prices stay buoyed by a risk premium as markets await Geneva talks, but easing tensions could revive bearishness and push prices lower

    Oil prices are propped up by geopolitics, not fundamentals. Geneva talks and OPEC+ decisions could erase the risk premium, exposing surplus supply, rising inventories, and triggering a sharp decline. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    WTI crude stays below $63 as traders watch US-Iran talks, with prices holding within Friday’s range

    WTI is stuck at $62–$63, awaiting US-Iran nuclear talks. Geopolitical tensions and possible OPEC+ output hikes cap gains, while surprise inventory draws support prices. Options traders eye breakout straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    USD/JPY rises 0.54% to 153.60 as weak Japanese GDP and thin holiday liquidity lift the pair

    USD/JPY rose to 153.60 on thin holiday liquidity. Weak Japan GDP hit the yen and delayed BOJ hikes. With wide US-Japan rate gaps, traders favor yield plays—hedge intervention risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

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