JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon cautions that recession risks remain due to inflation, federal deficits, and interest rates. Businesses hesitate to invest, indicating broader economic concerns, despite adjusted recession probabilities below 50%. – vtmarketsmy.com
Walmart’s stock rebounded after strong quarterly earnings, with an adjusted EPS of $0.61 and revenues over $165 billion. Despite concerns over international sales and rising tariffs, outlook remains cautiously optimistic. – vtmarketsmy.com
The Dow and S&P gained significantly, while NASDAQ wavered after a setback from Meta’s AI news. Market rotation suggests cautious optimism, with opportunities arising in defensive sectors. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/JPY is under pressure as the Yen strengthens amid global uncertainties and risk aversion, despite the UK’s strong GDP growth. Market caution persists until clearer monetary policy signals emerge. – vtmarketsmy.com
Michael Barr of the Federal Reserve highlighted risks small businesses face from high tariffs. If supply chains falter, inflation could rise, prompting crucial considerations for derivatives and market adjustments. – vtmarketsmy.com
USDJPY declines as risk aversion rises, stocks weaken, bond yields fall, and key technical levels are tested.
Stocks decline as NASDAQ and S&P 500 fall, marking three consecutive weekly losses and breaking key moving averages.
ECB’s Centeno expects rate cuts to continue as inflation nears target, with projections showing gradual convergence by 2027.
Putin is prepared for a Ukraine truce, pending conditions. Oil prices dropped following the announcement.
John Williams stated inflation expectations remain stable and have returned to pre-pandemic levels, avoiding monetary policy discussion.
Insights 
VT 
