Live Updates

    16 February 2026
    China’s house price index fell to -3.1% from -2.7%, deepening the decline in January house prices

    China’s house prices fell faster in January, signaling deepening property weakness. Expect pressure on developers, commodities, banks, and yuan—favor puts/shorts—but beware sudden Beijing stimulus triggering sharp rallies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    EUR/USD remains near 1.1850 as US and China holidays reduce Asian trading and limit liquidity

    EUR/USD slips near 1.1850 on holiday-thinned trading. Soft US inflation once fueled cut hopes, but sticky prices and a hawkish Fed versus dovish ECB now threaten downside, with volatility rising. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Japan’s Q4 2025 GDP rose 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, missing the 0.4% forecast after a Q3 contraction, according to Cabinet Office data

    Japan barely grew 0.1% in Q4 2025, missing forecasts and dodging recession. With wages falling, BOJ likely stays dovish, boosting carry trades, lifting USD/JPY and Nikkei. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    After Japan’s weak Q4 GDP, USD/JPY rose above 153.00, lowering expectations of BoJ rate hikes

    USD/JPY rebounds above 153 as weak Japan GDP delays BOJ hikes, while Fed cut bets cap gains. Range likely 152–155; low volatility favors selling strangles—watch for surprise policy shifts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Britain’s annual Rightmove house price index fell to 0% in February, down from 0.5%

    UK house price growth hit 0% in February, signaling a stalled market. With approvals down and inflation sticky, consider bearish or hedging puts on housebuilders, financials, FTSE 250, and GBP. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    South Korea’s trade balance fell to $0B in January, down from a previous $8.74B surplus

    South Korea’s trade surplus vanished in January, dropping from $8.74bn to zero—raising red flags. Weak exports, pricier energy imports, and rising volatility could hit the won and KOSPI. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    In February, Rightmove’s UK monthly house price index fell from 2.8% to 0%

    UK house prices just hit the brakes: Rightmove shows February growth fell to 0% from 2.8%. Cooling demand could push BoE toward cuts, hit UK stocks, and weaken GBP. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Japan’s fourth-quarter GDP rose 0.1%, missing the 0.4% forecast

    Japan’s GDP grew just 0.1%, missing forecasts and signaling slowdown. Expect a dovish BoJ, weaker yen—favor USD/JPY calls. A softer yen boosts exporters; consider long Nikkei futures. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Japan’s year-on-year GDP deflator was steady at 3.4% in the fourth quarter, unchanged from the previous quarter.

    Japan’s GDP deflator stayed hot at 3.4% in Q4 2025—wake-up call for the BOJ. Expect hawkish shifts, higher yields, stronger yen, shakier Nikkei, and rising volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Japan’s annualised GDP grew 0.2% in the fourth quarter, missing the 1.6% forecast

    Japan’s Q4 annualised GDP rose just 0.2%, missing 1.6% forecasts—sparking stagnation fears. BoJ rate hikes look unlikely, boosting yen weakness, carry trades, and exporters, prompting USD/JPY option plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

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