US deficits are ballooning again: National Bank warns America’s fiscal path is unsustainable despite tariff revenue. Policy uncertainty, rising yields, and climbing volatility threaten the dollar, especially approaching midterms. – vtmarketsmy.com
Warsh’s likely Fed chair nod hints at three rate cuts in 2026, but QT could lift long yields. Traders eye SOFR longs, curve steepeners, and volatility plays as housing strains persist. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold rebounded near $5,000 after softer US CPI boosted Fed cut bets, weakening the dollar and yields. Volatility remains high after a sharp selloff; watch $5,100 breakout or $4,800 support. – vtmarketsmy.com
Poland’s CPI surprised at 2.2%, yet stays below the 2.5% target. Falling fuel drives disinflation, keeping March rate-cut bets alive—favoring bond gains, weaker zloty, and stronger stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
Germany’s gas storage is near 25%, far below normal. No immediate shortage, but next winter looks riskier. LNG imports help, yet global competition may drive volatility, making later-dated winter contracts appealing. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/USD rebounds near 1.1870 as cooler US inflation hits the dollar. Markets price Fed rate cuts, boosting bullish bets like call spreads—though ECB warnings near 1.2000 may cap gains. – vtmarketsmy.com
Oil’s “Iran risk” could swing Brent from a bearish new deal to war-driven spikes above $100–120. With Brent $88 and volatility rising, traders hedge with puts, call spreads, straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com
Pound slips to 1.3600 as traders await US CPI—again. In 2025, “easing inflation” was wrong, dollar surged, and support broke. With strong US jobs, consider hedging GBP downside. – vtmarketsmy.com
EU leaders eye a “multi‑speed” union to boost competitiveness, possibly via enhanced cooperation and a new corporate “28th regime.” Markets brace for divergence: higher volatility, widening bond spreads, and euro swings. – vtmarketsmy.com
Inflation just cooled: US CPI fell to 2.4% in January, below forecasts, nudging the dollar lower. But core stayed 2.5%, leaving Fed cuts uncertain and volatility rising ahead of March. – vtmarketsmy.com
Hello there 👋
On hold
Hello there 👋
Scan the QR code with your smartphone to start a chat with us, or click here.
Don’t have the Telegram App or Desktop installed? Use Web Telegram instead.
