China’s early-2026 investment rebound boosts growth outlook, but oil shocks and US–China tensions threaten stability.
US monthly budget deficit widened to $308B in January, down from $95B, a $213B increase.
Dollar Index slid near 99.60 before Fed decision; Iran tensions, oil $96, gold $4,996; markets await central banks.
EUR/USD extends gains as Dollar slips; focus shifts to Fed, ECB decisions, oil-driven inflation risks.
UOB economists warn higher oil and gas prices could push Thailand into cost-shock inflation, weakening growth.
Commerzbank warns Brazilian real faces downside versus Mexican peso due to deeper rate cuts, weaker growth, politics.
DXY slipped 0.20% to 99.50–99.60 ahead of Fed decision; dot plot may drive next dollar move.
U.S. 20-year bond auction yield climbed to 4.817%, up 15.3 basis points from 4.664% previously.
US stocks extended gains as investors awaited the Fed decision; oil topped $100, lifting energy shares.
BNP Paribas warns Türkiye faces inflation risks from energy prices, lira sensitivity, and sharply rising bond yields.
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