Live Updates

    21 February 2026
    Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. oil rig count held steady at 409 rigs nationwide

    US oil rigs fell to 409, well below 2025 levels—hinting slower future output. With inventories shrinking and growth stalling, supply could tighten, raising chances of higher oil prices later. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Ahead of US GDP and inflation, S&P and Nasdaq futures remain rangebound as EPH/ENQ await pivot confirmation

    Markets waited at key “gates” before GDP/inflation—then hot Core PCE (0.5%) flipped risk-off. S&P and Nasdaq broke supports, VIX spiked, cuts priced out, rallies become short setups. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Min Joo Kang expects stronger January data in Japan, easing inflation and keeping BoJ policy unchanged

    Japan’s data week could spark surprises: growth is weak, but inflation is sticky. With yen at 162 and rates rising, markets may face bigger JGB swings and sudden yen reversals. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Sterling rises against the dollar after Supreme Court halts Trump tariffs and weak US GDP dampens demand

    GBP/USD jumps as Supreme Court blocks Trump emergency tariffs and weak US GDP drags the dollar. Sticky UK inflation supports sterling. Analysts eye upside breakout, favoring March–April call options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    NZD/USD hovers near 0.5970 after the RBNZ postpones tightening, as US trade worries persist

    NZD/USD hovers near 0.5970 as RBNZ holds rates and signals no hikes until 2026-27. Dovish NZ caps gains, while US trade-tariff uncertainty could spark a volatility breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Sterling rises against the dollar after US judges block Trump’s tariffs and weaker US GDP pressures the greenback

    GBP/USD jumped near 1.3494 after a Supreme Court tariff block weakened the dollar. But looming BoE cuts versus sticky US inflation may reverse gains; traders eye 1.3530 resistance, 1.3400 support. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose says weak Polish data in January strengthens expectations of a 25bp MPC cut in March

    Poland’s January slump and falling inflation fuel bets on a 25bp March rate cut. Weak output, lower prices, and slower wages signal easing ahead—potentially weakening the zloty versus regional peers. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Nasdaq and S&P 500 stayed rangebound after swings; inflation data guided sentiment as the USD struggled to rise

    Markets whip-sawed as S&P 500 and Nasdaq stayed stuck between QQQ 601 support and 606 resistance. Today’s inflation report could break the stalemate, while weak dollar boosts gold and oil. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    After the Supreme Court overturned Trump’s broad IEEPA tariffs, the US Dollar Index fell below 97.75

    Shock ruling sinks the dollar: DXY fell below 97.75 after the Supreme Court struck Trump’s IEEPA tariffs. Weak GDP, mixed inflation, and rising rate-cut odds fuel bearish bets—watch CPI, Fed, refunds. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Bostic said that if inflation reverses, it could trigger rate rises, with neutral rates slightly below today’s policy setting

    Fed’s Bostic warns cuts may be limited: neutral sits just 0.25–0.50% below 4.75%. With hot inflation and fiscal stimulus, hikes remain possible—challenging markets, favoring higher rates, hedges, and dollar longs. – vtmarketsmy.com

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