Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    In the United States, quarterly PCE prices rose to 2.9% in Q4, beating the 2.8% forecast

    Hotter inflation is back: Q4 PCE rose 2.9% (vs 2.8%), and January CPI hit 3.2%, slashing March cut odds. Yields rise, stocks face pressure—hedge with index puts or call spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Fourth-quarter US annualised GDP rose 1.4%, well short of the 3% growth forecast

    US Q4 GDP grew just 1.4%, missing 3% forecasts—signaling faster slowdown. Markets now expect earlier Fed rate cuts, higher volatility, falling yields, and a weaker dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US annual PCE price index beats December forecast, rising to 2.9%

    US PCE inflation hit 2.9% in December, topping forecasts and signaling stickier prices. Markets now expect fewer early-2026 Fed cuts, higher yields, rising volatility, and a stronger dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US monthly PCE price index beats forecasts, rising 0.4% vs 0.3% expected in December

    Hot inflation surprise: December PCE rose 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast, hinting stubborn price pressures. Markets now expect fewer 2026 rate cuts, boosting dollar strength while raising volatility risk for tech. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US personal spending rose 0.4% in December, in line with economists’ forecasts

    US consumers kept spending steady in December, up 0.4% as expected—calming markets, supporting a patient Fed, lowering volatility, shifting focus to inflation, and signaling risk as savings drop. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In December, US core PCE inflation rose 0.4% month on month, beating the 0.3% forecast

    Core PCE rose 0.4% in December, beating forecasts and signaling sticky inflation. Markets now expect fewer 2026 Fed rate cuts, boosting Treasury volatility and favoring swing-focused options strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In December, US personal income rose 0.3% month on month, in line with economists’ expectations

    US personal income rose 0.3% in December, matching forecasts—no shock, less fear. With the Fed staying patient and VIX near 14, expect calmer markets, premium-selling setups, and steady consumer spending. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US core PCE inflation rose to 3% year on year in December, exceeding the 2.9% forecast

    US core PCE hit 3% vs 2.9% expected, stoking “higher for longer” fears. Fading March rate-cut odds are boosting dollar strength, lifting VIX, and driving volatility in SOFR options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    The preliminary US February S&P Global PMI data will be released at 14:45 GMT, potentially affecting EUR/USD volatility

    Friday’s US flash PMI could boost the dollar: services and manufacturing are expected to rise. EUR/USD broke 1.1766 support; below the 20-day EMA, traders eye 1.1670 and bearish options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Buoyant UK sales and PMI lift sterling, pushing EUR/GBP lower despite stronger Eurozone PMI support

    EUR/GBP slipped as booming UK retail sales and strong PMIs lifted Sterling, while Eurozone data failed to inspire. Despite a weekly rise, traders may target 0.8550 via puts. – vtmarketsmy.com

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