Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s annual trade balance slipped to a $2.3B deficit in January, from a $2.2B deficit

    New Zealand’s trade deficit widened to NZD -2.3bn, signaling NZD headwinds. Weaker exports, China slowdown, and possible RBNZ cuts boost bearish NZD/USD setups like puts or NZD/AUD shorts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global manufacturing PMI eased from 52.3 to 51.5, signalling slower factory growth momentum in February

    Australia’s Manufacturing PMI slipped to 51.5, signaling slower growth. That’s a warning for ASX gains and the Aussie dollar—boosting the case for hedges, commodity downside bets, and volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global composite PMI fell in February, easing to 52 from 55.7 in the prior month

    Australia’s PMI slid to 52 from 55.7—still growing, but slowing fast. That could force a less hawkish RBA, pressuring stocks and AUD, boosting bonds, volatility, and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Australia’s S&P Global Services PMI eased from 56.3 to 52.2, signalling slower services expansion in February

    Australia’s Services PMI slipped to 52.2, signaling slower growth. Cooling momentum may rule out RBA hikes, boost rate-cut bets, pressure the Aussie dollar, and raise volatility—time to hedge. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s exports fell to $6.21B from $7.65B the previous month

    New Zealand exports plunged 18.8% to $6.21B in January, flashing weaker demand. Expect NZD/USD pressure: consider short exposure via puts, RBNZ dovish-rate bets, or hedging with long AUD/NZD. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    New Zealand’s imports fell to $6.73B from $7.6B, reflecting a month-on-month decline

    New Zealand imports fell sharply to $6.73b in January, down $0.87b. This hints cooling demand, earlier RBNZ rate cuts, and possible NZD and stock market declines—prompting traders to hedge. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Ahead of the PCE, GDP and PMI releases, the US dollar stayed firm as jobless claims fell to 206K

    Jobless claims dropped to 206K, lifting the dollar near four-week highs as traders eye Core PCE, GDP, and PMIs. FX diverged on central-bank outlooks; gold stayed supported by record buying. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Commerzbank analysts say USD/INR remains range-bound as India’s trade deficit widens due to soaring gold imports

    India’s trade deficit hit $34.7bn as gold imports surged, once keeping USD/INR near 90–91. Now it’s ~92.5: Fed rates, FPI outflows, and higher volatility fuel rupee weakness. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Argentina’s monthly trade balance reached $1,987M in January, exceeding the $900M forecast

    Argentina’s trade surplus shocked at $1.99bn vs $0.9bn, easing peso pressure. With inflation falling, stabilization strengthens. Consider peso-friendly trades: sell USD/ARS OTM calls; buy ARGT call spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    BNY’s EMEA macro strategist Geoff Yu says higher import prices are limiting bullishness, while industrial metals lack support for a rebound

    Industrial metals can’t reclaim early highs as weak demand and deflation persist, especially in China. Rising inventories, Indonesia’s nickel quota cut, and falling import prices signal more downside—dragging metals-linked currencies too. – vtmarketsmy.com

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