Markets now price under a 25bp NBP cut, but policymakers hint March easing as inflation cools and growth slows—signaling more cuts, a lower terminal rate, and likely zloty weakness. – vtmarketsmy.com
Oil is back in focus: US-Iran nuclear talks show progress, but Hormuz threats, shifting US inventories, and OPEC+ moves drive volatility. WTI’s uptrend strengthens, prompting bullish trades with hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
Stocks climbed for a third day as traders eye Fed minutes. Nvidia surged on Meta’s massive AI chip deal, while earnings jolted names. Gold hit $5,000; oil jumped on geopolitics. – vtmarketsmy.com
AI stocks are sliding as investors rotate from pricey US software to cash-generating Asian chipmakers. Watch Korea/Taiwan “picks-and-shovels” winners, but beware concentration and global tech drawdowns. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/USD is at a turning point: UK inflation and jobs eased, but BoE holds 3.25% as US growth cools and Fed cuts loom. With low volatility, options favor neutral-to-bullish. – vtmarketsmy.com
Hungary’s central bank may cut rates Feb 24 after 16 months, pressuring the forint. Traders eye swaps, bonds, and EUR/HUF shorts—while hedging April election volatility with options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Russia’s producer prices just plunged 5% year-on-year, worsening deflation. That hints at weaker demand, likely rate cuts, a softer ruble, pressured oil prices, and shrinking industrial margins—bad news for equities. – vtmarketsmy.com
Russia’s producer prices plunged 2.5% in January, deepening deflation fears. Softer demand could spur a March rate cut, weaken the ruble, and boost volatility across Russian assets, commodities. – vtmarketsmy.com
Don’t just watch—buy the ticket: Nifty surged 350–400 points, targets 26,000 with 25,500 support. Bank Nifty nears record highs; low VIX and strong FII/GDP boost bullish option strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rate cuts are delayed, not dead: Rabobank expects three 25bp Fed cuts in 2026 starting June, then September and October, as strong jobs data push timing back despite cooling inflation. – vtmarketsmy.com
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