Live Updates

    17 February 2026
    Danske researchers say Sweden’s unemployment fell to 8.0%, lowering the odds of rate cuts and implying revisions

    Sweden’s unemployment surprise (8.0% vs 8.8%) signals a strong labor market, lowering near-term Riksbank cut odds. With inflation back near target, traders eye SEK strength versus EUR—watch March data. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    A recurring expansion-reset pattern has SPY and QQQ testing highs as they await breakout acceptance or a pullback rotation

    SPY and QQQ are back at a ceiling that’s held since 2021—breakout or reset? Watch weekly closes: QQQ often cracks first. Rising put/call warns caution; use defined-risk spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    After the RBA minutes, AUD/USD slips to around 0.7050 as the AUD weakens and the USD stays cautious ahead of the Fed minutes

    AUD/USD slips near 0.7050 as RBA minutes dodge clear rate guidance, pressuring the Aussie. Focus turns to jobs and CPI. Fed steadiness boosts USD; traders eye downside plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    TD Securities expects December PCE inflation to strengthen, with core and headline rising 0.25% and 0.27% month over month, nearing 3% year over year

    Inflation may be re-accelerating: TD Securities sees December PCE firming and tariffs lifting prices, keeping inflation sticky into early 2026. Markets are pricing fewer rate cuts, boosting volatility and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    In January, Canada’s headline CPI rose 2.3% year on year, below forecasts, while prices were unchanged month on month

    Canada’s inflation cooled to 2.3%, easing pressure on the Bank of Canada to hike. With core still hot, cuts look unlikely—setting up a steady USD/CAD climb and tactical options trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Pesole says the RBNZ’s November 2025 forecasts underplayed inflation as CPI data exceeded them, delaying rate cuts

    New Zealand inflation is running hotter than the RBNZ expected, raising doubts about past rate cuts. ING now sees no February move, but forecasts earlier hikes: two in 2026, one in 2027. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Canada’s core monthly CPI was unchanged at 0.2% in January, the same as the previous month

    Canada’s core inflation stuck at 0.2% in January, keeping annual pace near 2.4%. Strong jobs and wages weaken rate-cut hopes, supporting CAD, pressuring stocks, and boosting volatility hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    In January, Canada’s monthly CPI stayed flat at 0%, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise

    Canada’s January CPI was flat at 0%, missing forecasts. Markets now expect earlier Bank of Canada rate cuts, weakening the loonie, boosting stocks, rallying bonds, and favoring REIT/utility plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    In January, Canada’s annual CPI came in at 2.3%, below economists’ 2.4% forecast

    Canada inflation hit 2.3% in January, undershooting forecasts and boosting rate-cut bets. Expect weaker CAD, stronger USD/CAD, firmer bonds and rate-sensitive stocks—unless hot 4.5% wage growth delays cuts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    17 February 2026
    Canada’s BoC core CPI rose 0.2% in January, reversing a 0.4% fall in the previous month

    Canada’s core inflation flipped from -0.4% to +0.2% in January, shaking rate-cut hopes. Strong jobs and 2.6% core inflation push “higher-for-longer,” lifting the Canadian dollar outlook. – vtmarketsmy.com

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