USD/CHF holds near 0.7690 as Swiss inflation stays near zero, keeping the SNB dovish. Softer US CPI may weaken USD, but policy divergence and low CHF volatility favor bullish option strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/USD stalled at 1.1865 as weak Eurozone output and holiday-thinned trading muted moves. Fast-forward: growth lags, Fed stays hawkish, ECB hints cuts—volatility rises, traders eye breakouts. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/JPY rebounded after Japan’s weak GDP hit the yen, but upside looks capped. Key support sits near 152.11-152.54, resistance 154.96. Traders eye cautious, range-based options setups. – vtmarketsmy.com
Carry trades are cracking: tighter global conditions and fading Fed-cut hopes trigger outflows from high-yield EM currencies, especially crowded Latin America. Expect volatility; hedge MXN/BRL. Asia looks safer, undervalued, less crowded. – vtmarketsmy.com
FedEx surged 18% in a month—now earnings loom. Revenue is forecast up 5.9% but EPS down 10%, with rising options volatility signaling a potentially big post-report move either way. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/USD is stuck in a tight triangle as traders brace for Tuesday’s UK jobs and wages data. BoE, Fed outlooks diverge; volatility is cheap, raising breakout odds above 1.2750 or 1.2500. – vtmarketsmy.com
WTI hovered near $62.80 as holiday-thinned trading muted moves. Markets now hinge on US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine talks, OPEC+ output plans, and US inventories—catalysts that could jolt oil fast. – vtmarketsmy.com
Dollar outlook flips: DBS cuts USD forecasts as rate and growth advantages fade. Fed leadership uncertainty, political risk, and de-dollarisation rise. Expect two Fed cuts in H2 2026 and higher FX volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
WTI hovers near $63, but Tuesday’s US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine talks could ignite a breakout. OPEC+ output likely rises, inventories built, and volatility is up—options like straddles/strangles may benefit. – vtmarketsmy.com
Dollar outlook shifts: DBS cuts USD forecasts as Fed independence fears, de-dollarisation, and midterm politics rise. With weaker rate support, traders eye DXY puts, EUR/USD straddles, and CHF/gold exposure. – vtmarketsmy.com
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