Live Updates

    12 February 2026
    ICE Brent nears $70/bbl as Iran and OPEC+ cut uncertainty, countering a large US stock build

    Brent nears $70 as Iran fears and OPEC+ cuts outweigh a huge U.S. stock build. Drone-hit refinery news lifts margins, but Kazakhstan’s CPC exports rebound soon, limiting gains. India’s Russian demand shift looms. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    TripAdvisor holiday review firm reports 4p adjusted EPS, below forecasts and down from 30p a year earlier

    TripAdvisor’s Q4 EPS crashed to $0.04, missing forecasts by 73% as revenue stalled. Shares already down 16.5%, volatility spiking. Macro travel weakness and Wayfair’s report add bearish fuel. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    Gold trades flat near $5,060 as easing Fed rate-cut expectations and geopolitical strains support demand within the $5,000–$5,100 range

    Gold holds above $5,000, stuck between $5,000–$5,100 as strong US jobs cool rate-cut hopes but geopolitics boosts safe-haven demand. Traders eye low-volatility options plays ahead of CPI, PPI. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    Nomura’s Buckley says UK GDP limped after 2025, but the BoE and markets expect a recovery in 2026

    UK growth limped into 2026, but a rebound is forecast. The catch: it depends on shoppers saving less. With PMI data looming, traders eye rate cuts, weaker sterling, and FTSE 250 hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    AUD/USD rises about 0.21% to near 0.7140 after hitting 0.7147, supported by Australia’s inflation expectations

    AUD/USD hit 0.7147 in 2025 on RBA hike bets amid 5% inflation expectations. Now inflation cooled, RBA and Fed paused, AUD/USD ranges near 0.6650; low-volatility strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    USD/CAD holds near 1.3571 as cautious investors weigh trade concerns and a softer US dollar

    USD/CAD hovers near 1.357 as weaker US data and soft CPI cap the dollar. But USMCA exit fears support USD. Volatility rises—options straddles/strangles may profit. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    TD Securities said the BoC minutes seemed mildly dovish, citing stimulative rates, geopolitical risks, and USMCA uncertainty

    Bank of Canada stays cautiously dovish: rates seen slightly stimulative, cuts not imminent despite slowing jobs, with 2.9% inflation sticky. USMCA and geopolitics add risk, keeping CAD range-bound. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    BNY’s Geoff Yu says Bullock warned the RBA may hike rates if inflation persists amid productivity concerns

    Australia’s RBA warns more rate hikes may come as inflation stays above target and expectations rise. With cash rates at 3.85%, bond yields and the Australian dollar could climb. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    In January, the UK’s NIESR three-month GDP estimate fell sharply from 4.296% to 0.3%

    UK growth just plunged: NIESR’s three‑month GDP estimate sank to 0.3% in January from 4.296%. Markets now expect BoE rate cuts, weaker pound, FTSE 250 risk, gilts upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

    12 February 2026
    RBC’s Claire Fan expects the Fed to keep rates near neutral, with slightly lower unemployment ahead and an unchanged 2026 average

    RBC sees steady US outlook: productivity boosts 2025 growth, unemployment near 4.5% in 2026. Data delays muddy inflation; Fed holds 3.5–3.75%. Trade calm, hedge shocks: sell rate vol, buy VIX. – vtmarketsmy.com

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