Oil is surging, but the dollar isn’t: BNY says the oil–USD link is breaking. DXY correlation sank to 0.15, as geopolitics lifts crude without boosting dollar flows. – vtmarketsmy.com
Spain’s 3-year bond yield fell to 2.273%, signaling stronger demand and lower perceived risk. That boosts bets on ECB rate cuts, favors bond strategies, and could weaken the euro versus the dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
Eurozone construction fell 0.9% in December, worsening slightly. With PMI weak and inflation cooling, bets grow on ECB cuts—boosting Bunds, pressuring equities and construction stocks, and turning the euro bearish. – vtmarketsmy.com
Eurozone construction rebounded 0.9% in December, but markets have moved on. With hotter inflation and weak PMIs, expect choppy trading—seek volatility plays and hedge cyclicals. – vtmarketsmy.com
Oil prices spiked on fears of US action against Iran disrupting Strait of Hormuz flows. Brent topped $70, neared $75. Backwardation signals tight supply; sanctions further squeeze accessible barrels. – vtmarketsmy.com
Spain’s 5-year bond yield jumped to 2.577%, signaling rising Eurozone rates as inflation heats up. Expect bond volatility, equity pressure, and euro support; consider Bund shorts, IBEX hedges, and spread trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Spain’s 10-year bond yield fell to 3.167% from 3.223%, signaling stronger demand. Cooling inflation and tighter CDS spreads suggest ECB rates peaked, supporting bullish bonds, Spanish equities, and trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Fed’s $6.5T balance sheet may be stuck: reserves and Treasury cash needs limit further shrinking without deregulation. QT likely stays paused, volatility may stay low, and T-bill reinvestment could steepen yields. – vtmarketsmy.com
Silver is coiling near $79 between key moving averages, hinting at a volatility breakout. Above $79.26 targets $121.66; below $78.95 risks $64.08. Options strategies may benefit. – vtmarketsmy.com
Eurozone data surprised up: December current account surplus hit €14.6bn vs €9.2bn forecast, January PMI rose to 51.2, and core inflation stayed 2.6%—fueling bullish EUR, Euro Stoxx 50, and less dovish ECB bets. – vtmarketsmy.com
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