Live Updates

    13 February 2026
    In January, US core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, matching market expectations

    Core US inflation rose 0.3% in January, matching forecasts—steady disinflation, less Fed surprise. March rate cut looks unlikely; May/June possible. Expect calmer bonds, lower volatility, range-bound stocks, options opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    US CPI (non-seasonally adjusted) came in at 325.25 in January, below the 325.41 forecast

    Cooler-than-expected January CPI (325.25 vs 325.41) is reshaping markets: traders now see earlier Fed cuts, VIX may sink, tech could rally, and 2-year yields fall—jobs data is next. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    U.S. annual CPI came in below forecasts, with inflation at 2.4% versus the expected 2.5% in January

    CPI surprised lower at 2.4%, signaling cooling inflation and boosting June 2026 Fed cut odds. Lower rates could lift Nasdaq, sink VIX, weaken dollar, and boost gold. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Danske Bank says Norway’s Q1 survey shows 2026–27 oil investment volumes stronger than Norges Bank expected

    Norway’s oil investment outlook just surprised higher, signalling a stronger economy and fewer near-term rate cuts. With more central bank transparency, expect smoother krone gains and overpriced volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Ahead of US inflation data, the euro drifts near recent lows against the dollar for a fourth straight day

    Euro slides below 1.1860 despite solid Eurozone GDP—risk-off and upcoming US CPI dominate. With Fed staying hawkish versus a dovish ECB, the dollar leads. Consider hedging: euro puts or short EUR/USD futures. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Silver trades near $77.35 after rebounding from $74.00 lows but struggles to break above $79.00, heading for a third weekly drop

    Silver rebounds to $77 but stays stuck under $79, marking a third weekly drop. All eyes on US CPI: hot data may sink it to $64; cool inflation could spark $81+. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Ahead of CPI, the US dollar strengthens after robust payrolls, outperforming the Australian dollar and Norwegian krone

    US dollar climbed after strong jobs data, hitting Aussie and krone hardest. Sticky 2.8% core CPI dims Fed cuts, lifts volatility, and boosts options appeal—favoring near-term dollar strength. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Pesole says NOK surged after CPI but may weaken as inflation eases and rate cuts return by summer

    Norway’s krone surged after January core inflation hit 4.2%, wiping out 2026 rate-cut bets and dragging EUR/NOK near 11.35. Volatile inflation may fall to 3%, reviving cuts. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Rabobank expects USD/CAD to stay range-bound into 2026, with USMCA and tariff risks offsetting dollar weakness

    Trade tensions are trapping USD/CAD in a 1.36–1.41 range through 2026: weaker USD and narrower rate spreads offset a “tariff premium” on CAD. Volatility should rise ahead of July 1 USMCA review. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Deutsche Bank analysts say EUR/USD held steady as the dollar index rose slightly ahead of US CPI data

    EUR/USD is stuck as traders await delayed US January CPI. Headline may cool on cheaper fuel, but core could stay hot, shifting rate-cut bets and sparking a volatility breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com

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