{"id":30726,"date":"2026-03-06T22:51:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%b1%b3%e5%85%b0%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%80%9a%e5%b8%b8%e4%b8%8d%e4%bc%9a%e7%90%86%e4%bc%9a%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e6%b3%a2%e5%8a%a8%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6%e5%af%b9%e8%a7%a3\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T22:51:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T22:51:37","slug":"%e7%b1%b3%e5%85%b0%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%80%9a%e5%b8%b8%e4%b8%8d%e4%bc%9a%e7%90%86%e4%bc%9a%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e6%b3%a2%e5%8a%a8%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6%e5%af%b9%e8%a7%a3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%b1%b3%e5%85%b0%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%80%9a%e5%b8%b8%e4%b8%8d%e4%bc%9a%e7%90%86%e4%bc%9a%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e6%b3%a2%e5%8a%a8%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6%e5%af%b9%e8%a7%a3\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u5170\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7406\u4f1a\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u89e3\u8bfb\u5355\u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u4fdd\u6301\u8c28\u614e"},"content":{"rendered":"\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u5c40\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff09\u7406\u4e8b\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u7c73\u5170\uff08Stephen Miran\uff09\u5468\u4e94\u5bf9CNBC\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u53ea\u4f9d\u636e\u5355\u4e2a\u6708\u5ea6\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4e0b\u5224\u65ad\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u770b\u6cd5\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002\n\n\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u653f\u7b56\u201c\u6821\u51c6\u4e0d\u5f53\u201d\uff08miscalibrated\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u7b56\u529b\u5ea6\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u9645\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\uff09\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff08monetary policy\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8fc7\u5347\u606f\/\u964d\u606f\u4e0e\u8c03\u8282\u8d44\u91d1\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u8fc7\u4e8e\u7d27\u7f29\uff08too tight\uff0c\u5373\u5229\u7387\u504f\u9ad8\u3001\u878d\u8d44\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u88ab\u538b\u5236\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4ed6\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u201c\u9e3d\u6d3e\u201d\uff08dovish\uff0c\u5373\u66f4\u652f\u6301\u964d\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u8f83\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff09\u3002\n\n<h3>Fed Reaction Function And Inflation Signals<\/h3>\n\u7c73\u5170\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u79df\u91d1\u6ca1\u6709\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\uff08rent inflation\uff0c\u5373\u623f\u79df\u4e0a\u6da8\u5e26\u52a8\u6574\u4f53\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002\n\n\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u201d\uff08neutral rate\uff0c\u5373\u65e2\u4e0d\u523a\u6fc0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6291\u5236\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u7ea6\u57282.5%\u81f32.75%\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u8bf4\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u89c4\u5212\u5f88\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u4ed6\u4f1a\u4ee5\u201c\u7559\u4efb\u8005\u201d\uff08holdover\uff0c\u5373\u4efb\u671f\u5230\u70b9\u4f46\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\u672a\u83b7\u786e\u8ba4\u524d\u6682\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u4efb\u804c\uff09\u8eab\u4efd\u7ee7\u7eed\u7559\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u6709\u4eba\u83b7\u786e\u8ba4\u63a5\u66ff\u3002\n<p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; 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