{"id":43798,"date":"2026-04-01T05:43:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T05:43:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8cmichael-every%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e4%bc%9a%e8%ae%ae%e7%ba%aa%e8%a6%81%e6%8f%90%e5%8f%8a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c-3\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T05:43:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T05:43:33","slug":"%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8cmichael-every%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e4%bc%9a%e8%ae%ae%e7%ba%aa%e8%a6%81%e6%8f%90%e5%8f%8a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8cmichael-every%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e4%bc%9a%e8%ae%ae%e7%ba%aa%e8%a6%81%e6%8f%90%e5%8f%8a%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c-3\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8377\u5170\u5408\u4f5c\u94f6\u884cMichael Every\u79f0\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u63d0\u53ca\u4e2d\u4e1c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5728\u6cb9\u4ef7\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u4e0b\u4ee4\u5229\u7387\u524d\u666f\u8499\u4e0a\u9634\u5f71"},"content":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4ecd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u6709\u628a\u63e1\u9884\u6d4b\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u524d\u666f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u98ce\u9669\u3002\n\n\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u82e5\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6bcf\u6876\u7ea6100\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u6574\u4f53\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08headline CPI\uff0c\u628a\u6240\u6709\u9879\u76ee\u90fd\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u5185\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff09\u5c06\u5347\u81f3\u7ea65%\u3002\u8fd9\u6bd42\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9884\u671f\u9ad8\u51fa0.75\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u7eaa\u8981\u4e5f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u82e5\u6cb9\u4ef7\u957f\u671f\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u6269\u6563\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u5546\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u5e26\u52a8\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\n\n<h3>Policy Outlook Under Oil Price Uncertainty<\/h3>\n\u591a\u6570\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\uff08policy tightening\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u66f4\u7d27\u7684\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\uff09\u662f\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u5c11\u6570\u6210\u5458\u5219\u62c5\u5fe7\u51fa\u73b0\u6ede\u80c0\uff08stagflation\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u751a\u81f3\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff09\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\n\n\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u62a5\u9053\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u7ea650\u4e07\u540d\u6fb3\u6d32\u5e74\u8f7b\u5458\u5de5\u5c06\u56e0\u6700\u4f4e\u5de5\u8d44\u6807\u51c6\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u6700\u9ad842%\u7684\u52a0\u85aa\u3002\n\n<h3>Implications For Rates Wages And Currency Markets<\/h3>\n\u56fd\u5185\u5de5\u8d44\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u30022025\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08Wage Price Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6574\u4f53\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e4.2%\u7684\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4e0d\u53ea\u6765\u81ea\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u672c\u5730\u56e0\u7d20\u652f\u6491\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u66f4\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u4f18\u5148\u538b\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u652f\u6301\u52a0\u606f\uff09\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u59d4\u5458\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u4e3b\u5f20\u7ee7\u7eed\u6536\u7d27\u3002\n\n\u5bf9\u5916\u6c47\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u4e24\u96be\uff1a\u5229\u7387\u504f\u9ad8\u901a\u5e38\u5229\u597d\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u4f46\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u660e\u663e\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4f1a\u62d6\u7d2f\u6c47\u4ef7\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u62bc\u6ce8\u6fb3\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u5355\u8fb9\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u66f4\u5408\u7406\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u4e3a\u66f4\u5bbd\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u6ce2\u52a8\u505a\u51c6\u5907\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u671f\u6743\u5e02\u573a\u5e03\u5c40\uff09\u3002\n<p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 &#8211; 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