{"id":44963,"date":"2026-04-17T17:52:34","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T17:52:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/ing%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e5%8a%a0%e5%85%83%e5%9c%a8%e5%b9%b4%e5%ba%95%e5%89%8d%e5%b0%86%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e5%89%8a\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T17:52:34","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T17:52:34","slug":"ing%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e5%8a%a0%e5%85%83%e5%9c%a8%e5%b9%b4%e5%ba%95%e5%89%8d%e5%b0%86%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e5%89%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/ing%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e5%8a%a0%e5%85%83%e5%9c%a8%e5%b9%b4%e5%ba%95%e5%89%8d%e5%b0%86%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e5%89%8a\/","title":{"rendered":"ING\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u5143\/\u52a0\u5143\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5c06\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u9006\u98ce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ING \u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\uff08USD\/CAD\uff09\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5c06\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u201d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\uff083Q\uff09\u6062\u590d\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u8be5\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\uff1a\u52a0\u5143\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u652f\u6491\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u6307\u201c\u5347\u606f\/\u964d\u606f\u3001\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u672c\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>ING \u8ba4\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u524d\u666f\u8f83\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of Canada\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0\u201c\u52a0\u94f6\/BOC\u201d\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u300a\u7f8e\u58a8\u52a0\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff08USMCA\uff0cUnited States\u2013Mexico\u2013Canada Agreement\uff0c\u7f8e\u58a8\u52a0\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\uff09\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u3002ING \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u201c\u5b9a\u4ef7\u201d\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7ea6 30 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff08bp\uff0cbasis point\uff0c\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b1 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9 = 0.01%\uff0c30bp = 0.30%\uff09\u7684\u5347\u606f\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e0d\u9884\u671f\u52a0\u94f6\u5347\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Possible Path For Usdcad<\/h3>\n<p>ING \u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u5883\uff1a\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6218\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c40\u52bf\u964d\u6e29\u5e26\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff08risk sentiment\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff09\u56de\u5347\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0cING \u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\u53ef\u56de\u843d\u81f3 1.36\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u7f8e\u58a8\u52a0\u534f\u5b9a\u76f8\u5173\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u8be5\u6587\u4f7f\u7528 AI \u5de5\u5177\u534f\u52a9\u5236\u4f5c\uff0c\u5e76\u7531\u7f16\u8f91\u5ba1\u6838\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u987e\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53bb\u5e74\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u606f\u540e\u7f8e\u5143\u4f1a\u8d70\u5f31\u201d\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u662f\u5bf9\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u5df2\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u8be5\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e00\u5ea6\u628a\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\u63a8\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u4e4b\u540e\u6c47\u4ef7\u518d\u5ea6\u7f13\u6b65\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728 1.3750 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5c40\u9762\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u5df2\u4ece\u660e\u786e\u7684\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u5468\u671f\u201d\uff08easing cycle\uff0c\u8fdb\u5165\u964d\u606f\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u8fde\u7eed\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff09\u8f6c\u4e3a\u52a0\u7f8e\u4e24\u8fb9\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5982 3 \u6708 CPI\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u7269\u4ef7\u6da8\u5e45\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4ecd\u987d\u56fa\u5728 3.1%\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6682\u505c\u884c\u52a8\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u201c\u6570\u636e\u4f9d\u8d56\u201d\uff08data-dependent\uff0c\u4f9d\u636e\u540e\u7eed\u6570\u636e\u518d\u51b3\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6700\u65b0\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u8c03\u67e5\uff08Labour Force Survey\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4e0e\u5931\u4e1a\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\uff09\u663e\u793a\u5c31\u4e1a\u4ec5\u589e\u52a0 1.5 \u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u731c\u6d4b\u52a0\u94f6\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e4b\u524d\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Review Volatility Setup<\/h3>\n<p>\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5bf9\u52a0\u5143\uff08loonie\uff0c\u201c\u52a0\u5143\u201d\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4fd7\u79f0\uff09\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\uff0cWTI \u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u5e38\u7528\u57fa\u51c6\u6cb9\u4ef7\uff09\u5728\u6bcf\u6876 88 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u4f01\u7a33\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u9ad8\u4e8e 2022 \u5e74\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e94\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u652f\u6491\u88ab\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u56fd\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u62c5\u5fe7\u62b5\u6d88\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c06\u4e8e 2026 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u8fdb\u884c\u7684 USMCA \u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u5ba1\u67e5\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u662f\u6700\u5927\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4f20\u51fa\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u653f\u6cbb\u6742\u97f3\uff0c\u4f7f\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u51fa\u53e3\u4e0e\u6295\u8d44\u9762\u4e34\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u52a0\u5143\u591a\u5934\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff08long CAD\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u52a0\u5143\u5347\u503c\u7684\u6301\u4ed3\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u6765\u81ea\u6807\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u5982\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call option\uff0c\u4e70\u65b9\u6709\u6743\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\/\u5230\u671f\u65f6\u4ee5\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\u5165\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\uff0c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\uff08strike price\uff0c\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4e70\u5356\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u7ea6 1.3900\uff0c\u671f\u9650\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u3002\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u5728 USMCA \u8d1f\u9762\u65b0\u95fb\u6216\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6570\u636e\u75b2\u5f31\u5f15\u53d1\u6c47\u4ef7\u77ed\u7ebf\u51b2\u9ad8\u65f6\u83b7\u5229\u3002\u82e5\u6c47\u4ef7\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u9650\u5b9a\u4e3a\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u671f\u6743\u91d1\uff08premium\uff0c\u4e70\u671f\u6743\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u8baf\u53f7\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u8d38\u6613\u5ba1\u67e5\u65f6\uff0c\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u4e70\u5165\u201c\u957f\u8de8\u5f0f\u201d\uff08long straddle\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff09\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u6da8\u6216\u5927\u8dcc\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u62bc\u6ce8\u201c\u6ce2\u52a8\u53d8\u5927\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u52a0\u5143\u5e74\u5e95\u6216\u5c0f\u8dcc\uff1a\u82e5\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u91cd\u542f\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8f6c\u5f31\u3001\u6cb9\u4ef7\u652f\u6491\u52a0\u5143\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u6216\u56de\u843d1.36\uff1b\u4f46USMCA\u5ba1\u67e5\u4e0e\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6570\u636e\u75b2\u5f31\u6050\u63a8\u5347\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e0e\u53cd\u5f39\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44963\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}