{"id":45114,"date":"2026-04-20T21:52:57","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T21:52:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%be%b7%e6%84%8f%e5%bf%97%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e7%b4%a7%e5%bc%a0%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e3%80%81%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T21:52:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T21:52:57","slug":"%e5%be%b7%e6%84%8f%e5%bf%97%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e7%b4%a7%e5%bc%a0%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e3%80%81%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e5%be%b7%e6%84%8f%e5%bf%97%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e7%b4%a7%e5%bc%a0%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e3%80%81%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u79f0\uff0c\u53d7\u4f0a\u6717\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3001\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u4e2d\u65ad\u98ce\u9669\u53ca\u505c\u706b\u6d88\u606f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4e3b\u56e0\u662f\u4f0a\u6717\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u5173\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u8fde\u63a5\u6ce2\u65af\u6e7e\u4e0e\u963f\u66fc\u6e7e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u822a\u9053\uff09\u901a\u822a\u72b6\u6001\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u968f\u7740\u505c\u706b\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0e\u5bf9\u6d77\u5ce1\u80fd\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u901a\u822a\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6539\u53d8\u800c\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u201c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u671b\u89e3\u51b3\u5206\u6b67\u201d\u7684\u671f\u5f85\u4e0b\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u5468\u4e94\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u5916\u957f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u505c\u706b\u671f\u5269\u4f59\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\uff0c\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5f00\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n

Strait Of Hormuz Headlines<\/h3>\n

\u4f46\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u5468\u516d\u4f0a\u6717\u53c8\u6539\u53e3\u79f0\u6d77\u5ce1\u5173\u95ed\u3002\u5468\u516d\u5f53\u5929\u6d77\u5ce1\u822a\u8fd0\u4e00\u5ea6\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u505c\u6446\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u4e0a\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc -5.06%\uff0c\u6536\u4e8e\u6bcf\u6876 90.38 \u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5176\u4e2d\u5468\u4e94\u5355\u65e5\u5927\u8dcc -9.07%\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b\u81ea 3 \u6708 10 \u65e5\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\u6536\u76d8\u3002\u5468\u4e00\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u53cd\u5f39 +5.61% \u81f3\u6bcf\u6876 95.45 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f26\u6566\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u4e94\u4e0b\u5348\uff0cPolymarket\uff08\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u7528\u4ea4\u6613\u5408\u7ea6\u6765\u53cd\u6620\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u6982\u7387\uff09\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u201c5 \u6708\u5e95\u524d\u6d77\u5ce1\u822a\u8fd0\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5e38\u201d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 84%\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\u8be5\u6982\u7387\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u7ea6 63%\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e0a\u5468\u56db\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u540c\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\u5b9a\u4ef7\u7684 37%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u5267\u70c8\u6765\u56de\u9707\u8361\uff1a\u5468\u4e94\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u66b4\u8dcc\u8d85\u8fc7 9%\uff0c\u4eca\u65e9\u53c8\u53cd\u5f39\u63a5\u8fd1 6% \u81f3 95.45 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u76f4\u63a5\u6765\u81ea\u4f0a\u6717\u9488\u5bf9\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u77db\u76fe\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u8981\u63a5\u53d7\u201c\u6807\u9898\u6d88\u606f\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u201d\u6210\u4e3a\u5e38\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n

\u98ce\u9669\u5e76\u975e\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u6bcf\u65e5\u7ea6 20% \u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u9700\u8981\u7ecf\u8fc7\u8be5\u6d77\u5ce1\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\uff08derivatives market\uff0c\u4ee5\u539f\u6cb9\u4e3a\u6807\u7684\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u3001\u671f\u6743\u7b49\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff09\u4e0a\uff1aCBOE \u539f\u6cb9\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570 OVX\uff08\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8d8a\u9ad8\u4ee3\u8868\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u8d8a\u5927\uff09\u5df2\u5347\u81f3 45 \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e3a\u4eca\u5e74\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u6b63\u5728\u9632\u5907\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8d77\u843d\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u66f4\u9002\u5408\u91c7\u7528\u80fd\u63a7\u5236\u6ce2\u52a8\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

Options And Volatility Strategy<\/h3>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u98ce\u9669\u5448\u201c\u4e8c\u9009\u4e00\u201d\u7279\u6027\u2014\u2014\u6d77\u5ce1\u4e0d\u662f\u5f00\u653e\u5c31\u662f\u5173\u95ed\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u7528\u671f\u6743\uff08options\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u8d4b\u4e88\u4e70\u65b9\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4ee5\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\u5165\u6216\u5356\u51fa\u6807\u7684\u7684\u6743\u5229\u3001\u4f46\u4e0d\u5fc5\u6267\u884c\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u6765\u660e\u786e\u6700\u5927\u4e8f\u635f\u3002\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08call spread\uff1a\u4e70\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u3001\u540c\u65f6\u5356\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u5e76\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u76c8\u5229\u4e0e\u4e8f\u635f\uff09\u53ef\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u9650\u660e\u786e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u62bc\u6ce8\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff1b\u770b\u8dcc\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08put spread\uff1a\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u3001\u540c\u65f6\u5356\u51fa\u66f4\u4f4e\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff09\u5219\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u5c40\u52bf\u7a81\u7136\u7f13\u548c\u3002\u9ad8\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff1a\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u201d\uff09\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5356\u51fa\u671f\u6743\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u66f4\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u65e6\u4ef7\u683c\u51fa\u73b0\u8df3\u7a7a\uff08gap\uff1a\u5f00\u76d8\u4ef7\u6216\u77ac\u95f4\u6210\u4ea4\u4ef7\u76f4\u63a5\u8df3\u5230\u66f4\u9ad8\/\u66f4\u4f4e\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u95f4\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u6210\u4ea4\uff09\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u8fc7\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

Polymarket \u5bf9\u201c5 \u6708\u89e3\u51b3\u201d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4ece 84% \u964d\u5230 63%\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u53ef\u5728\u5f88\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u53cd\u8f6c\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u7b49\u4e8e\u662f\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u516c\u544a\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4ed3\u4f4d\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u6301\u7eed\u76ef\u76d8\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u77ed\u7ebf\u6218\u672f\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u957f\u671f\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4f0a\u6717\u91ca\u653e\u66f4\u660e\u786e\u8baf\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u9762\u5bf9\u771f\u5b9e\u4f9b\u5e94\u51b2\u51fb\uff08supply shock\uff1a\u4f9b\u5e94\u7a81\u7136\u51cf\u5c11\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u7684\u7f13\u51b2\u5f88\u8584\u3002OPEC+\uff08\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f93\u51fa\u56fd\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u4ea7\u6cb9\u56fd\u8054\u76df\uff09\u8868\u793a\u6b63\u5728\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u627f\u8bfa\u52a8\u7528\u95f2\u7f6e\u4ea7\u80fd\uff08spare capacity\uff1a\u53ef\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u989d\u5916\u589e\u4ea7\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u77f3\u6cb9\u50a8\u5907\uff08SPR\uff1a\u653f\u5e9c\u6301\u6709\u3001\u7528\u4e8e\u5e94\u5bf9\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\uff09\u63a5\u8fd1 40 \u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u957f\u671f\u4e2d\u65ad\u65f6\u201c\u538b\u4f4e\u51b2\u51fb\u201d\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c2019 \u5e74\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4f46\u8f83\u8f7b\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6cb9\u8f6e\u88ab\u6263\u62bc\uff0c\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u7d27\u5f20\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u6708\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5373\u4f7f\u773c\u524d\u5371\u673a\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u9ad8\u7d27\u5f20\u4e0e\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u4f1a\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f0a\u6717\u5bf9\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u201c\u5f00\u6216\u5173\u201d\u53e3\u5f84\u53cd\u590d\uff0c\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e00\u65e5\u66b4\u8dcc9%\u540e\u518d\u5f39\u8fd16%\u3002OVX\u98d9\u783445\uff0c\u5730\u7f18\u6807\u9898\u4e3b\u5bfc\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u5dee\u6210\u98ce\u63a7\u5229\u5668\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45114\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}