{"id":45142,"date":"2026-04-21T04:53:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T04:53:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%b7%a1%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e7%9a%84%e6%8b%85%e5%bf%a7%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bb%8e%e6%97%a9%e7%9b%98%e8%b7%b3%e7%a9%ba\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T04:53:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T04:53:04","slug":"%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%b7%a1%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e7%9a%84%e6%8b%85%e5%bf%a7%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bb%8e%e6%97%a9%e7%9b%98%e8%b7%b3%e7%a9%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%b7%a1%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e7%9a%84%e6%8b%85%e5%bf%a7%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%bb%8e%e6%97%a9%e7%9b%98%e8%b7%b3%e7%a9%ba\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e02\u573a\u6de1\u5316\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4ece\u65e9\u76d8\u8df3\u7a7a\u540e\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u5f98\u5f8a\u4e8e0.7180\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e0.7220"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5468\u4e00\uff0cAUD\/USD \u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea60.2%\uff0c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd10.7180\uff1b\u5f00\u76d8\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0\u5411\u4e0b\u8df3\u7a7a\uff08\u6307\u5f00\u76d8\u4ef7\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u524d\u4e00\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\uff09\uff0c\u6700\u4f4e\u4e00\u5ea6\u63a5\u8fd10.7115\u3002\u968f\u540e\u6c47\u4ef7\u6536\u590d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u63a5\u8fd10.7220\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff1b\u56fe\u8868\u4e0a\u8721\u70db\u5b9e\u4f53\u504f\u5c0f\uff08\u4ee3\u8868\u5f53\u65e5\u6da8\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e0d\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4e0a\u6da8\u52a8\u529b\u8f6c\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u4ecd\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e8e\u5468\u4e09\u665a\u5230\u671f\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u79f0\u201c\u6781\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\u5ef6\u957f\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u963f\u66fc\u6e7e\u6263\u62bc\u4e00\u8258\u4f0a\u6717\u8d27\u8239\uff1b\u4f0a\u6717\u9769\u547d\u536b\u961f\u626c\u8a00\u62a5\u590d\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\uff1a\u9664\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u89e3\u9664\u6d77\u4e0a\u5c01\u9501\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u5c06\u5173\u95ed\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u3002<\/p>\n

Ceasefire Risks Remain Underpriced<\/figure>\n

\u505c\u706b\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u4f4e\u4f30<\/h3>\n

\u4f0a\u6717\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u5468\u4e00\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5c1a\u672a\u786e\u8ba4\u4f1a\u53c2\u52a0\u5728\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u5821\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f6e\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u4f46\u636e\u79f0\u672c\u5468\u4ecd\u8ba1\u5212\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4ecd\u504f\u5411\u5c40\u52bf\u4f1a\u66f4\u5e73\u9759\u3002<\/p>\n

\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u671f\u8d27\u9694\u591c\u4e0a\u6da8\u903e6%\uff0c\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u687689\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u6307\u671f\u8d27\uff08\u6307\u5bf9\u7f8e\u80a1\u6307\u6570\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u65f6\u6bb5\u8d8b\u7a33\uff1b\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff08\u6307\u5e02\u573a\u504f\u597d\u98ce\u9669\u65f6\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff09\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u9022\u4f4e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e70\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u591a\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u6709\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08IMF\uff09\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0e\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\uff1b\u5468\u4e8c\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\uff08\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8d39\u5f3a\u5f31\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\uff1b\u5468\u56db\u6709\u5404\u56fd\u521d\u503cPMI\uff08\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u503c\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\uff09\u3002\u6280\u672f\u9762\u65b9\u9762\uff0cAUD\/USD \u62a50.7178\uff1b\u652f\u6491\u57280.7138\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u53c2\u8003\u6c34\u5e73\u4e3a50\u671fEMA\u57280.7009\u3001200\u671fEMA\u57280.6779\uff08EMA \u6307\u6307\u6570\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff0c\u66f4\u770b\u91cd\u8fd1\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u89c2\u5bdf\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e0e\u652f\u6491\/\u963b\u529b\uff09\u3002\u968f\u673aRSI\uff08Stochastic RSI\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u201c\u968f\u673a\u6307\u6807\u201d\u548c\u201c\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u8d85\u4e70\u8d85\u5356\uff09\u8bfb\u6570\u9ad8\u8fbe98.19\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u672c\u5468\u6700\u5927\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u505c\u706b\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u5230\u671f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1WTI\u6cb9\u4ef7\u8df3\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u687689\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4ecd\u83b7\u5f97\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u8fc7\u5ea6\u81ea\u6ee1\u3002<\/p>\n

Options Strategies For Elevated Event Risk<\/figure>\n

\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u6e29\u4e0b\u7684\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n

\u9700\u8981\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u6bcf\u5929\u8d85\u8fc720%\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u4f1a\u7ecf\u8fc7\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff08\u80fd\u6e90\u8fd0\u8f93\u7684\u5173\u952e\u72ed\u7a84\u901a\u9053\uff09\u3002\u4f0a\u6717\u66fe\u5a01\u80c1\u5173\u95ed\u8be5\u6d77\u5ce1\uff1b\u4e00\u65e6\u8c08\u5224\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u51b2\u7834\u6bcf\u6876100\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u76ee\u524dAUD\/USD\u63a5\u8fd10.7180\u7684\u4ef7\u4f4d\u5e76\u672a\u53cd\u6620\u8fd9\u79cd\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u56de\u770b2025\u5e74\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff08\u6307\u4ef7\u683c\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5927\u5e45\u8d77\u843d\uff09\uff0c\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u5f80\u5f80\u5f88\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\u201d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e70\u5165AUD\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put option\uff0c\u652f\u4ed8\u6743\u5229\u91d1\u540e\u83b7\u5f97\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6309\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u5356\u51fa\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5bf9\u51b2\u6216\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\u662f\u8f83\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u3002\u82e5\u505c\u706b\u7834\u88c2\u3001\u5730\u7f18\u98ce\u9669\u91cd\u65b0\u88ab\u8ba1\u4ef7\uff08\u6307\u5e02\u573a\u628a\u98ce\u9669\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u4ef7\u683c\u91cc\uff09\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u6025\u632b\uff1b\u671f\u6743\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u8f83\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u6355\u6349\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u671f\u6743\u6743\u5229\u91d1\uff08\u4e70\u671f\u6743\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u6700\u5927\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u9002\u5408\u9762\u5bf9\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u4e24\u6781\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08binary event\uff0c\u6307\u7ed3\u679c\u5927\u6982\u7387\u53ea\u6709\u201c\u6210\/\u4e0d\u6210\u201d\u4e24\u79cd\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u9884\u671f\uff09\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u504f\u4f4e\uff1b\u7c7b\u4f3cCBOE\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\uff08VIX\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u5e02\u573a\u6050\u614c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u7684\u8bfb\u6570\u572814\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u6050\u614c\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3a\u201c\u4e70\u6ce2\u52a8\u201d\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7528\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u3001\u540c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff09\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u6fb3\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff1b\u53ea\u8981\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4efb\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u8d70\u51fa\u5927\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u800c\u5468\u4e09\u671f\u9650\u8fc7\u540e\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5373\u4f7f\u51fa\u73b0\u5916\u4ea4\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u9762\u4e5f\u63d0\u793a\u8981\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u65e5\u7ebf\u968f\u673aRSI\u9ad8\u8fbe98.19\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e25\u91cd\u8d85\u4e70\uff08\u6307\u4ef7\u683c\u77ed\u671f\u6da8\u5f97\u8fc7\u5feb\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u8c03\uff09\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u8fd1\u671f\u53cd\u5f39\u53ef\u80fd\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u58f0\u3002\u82e5\u6ca1\u6709\u5148\u56de\u8c03\u6574\u7406\uff08pullback\uff0c\u6307\u56de\u843d\u4fee\u6b63\uff09\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u6301\u6709\u591a\u5934\uff08long position\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff09\u66f4\u96be\u5408\u7406\u5316\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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