{"id":45218,"date":"2026-04-21T21:25:58","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:25:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e5%bc%97%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%88jane-foley%ef%bc%89%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T21:25:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:25:58","slug":"%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e5%bc%97%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%88jane-foley%ef%bc%89%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e5%bc%97%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%88jane-foley%ef%bc%89%e8%a1%a8%e7%a4%ba%ef%bc%8c%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8377\u5170\u5408\u4f5c\u94f6\u884c\uff08Rabobank\uff09\u7b80\u00b7\u5f17\u5229\uff08Jane Foley\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u82f1\u4f26\u94f6\u884c\uff08BoE\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u57285\u6708\u9009\u4e3e\u671f\u95f4\u6253\u538b\u82f1\u9551\u60c5\u7eea"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rabobank \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5c40\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u82f1\u9551\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u5728\u9996\u76f8\u65af\u5854\u9ed8\uff08Starmer\uff09\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u515a\u57285\u6708\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u80dc\u7b97\u3002\u8be5\u884c\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u65af\u5854\u9ed8\u5728\u4e0b\u8bae\u9662\uff08House of Commons\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8bae\u9662\uff09\u88ab\u8d28\u8be2\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u6d89\u53ca\u4efb\u547d\u66fc\u5fb7\u5c14\u68ee\uff08Mendelson\uff09\u51fa\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f7f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u884c\u5c06\u82f1\u9551\u81ea\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u65e9\u524d\u6297\u8dcc\uff0c\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\uff08Bank of England, BoE\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u8f6c\u5411\u3002\u5b83\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u671f\u540e\u6765\u5df2\u88ab\u4e0b\u4fee\uff0c\u4f7f\u82f1\u9551\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u901a\u80c0\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\uff08\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u4e0b\u8d77\u4f0f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff09\u4ecd\u5904\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u9551\u524d\u666f\u7531\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u4e3b\u5bfc<\/h3>\n

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Rabobank \u8865\u5145\uff0c\u4e0a\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u652f\u6491\u82f1\u9551\uff0c\u4f46\u6625\u5b63\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u62d6\u7d2f\u82f1\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u8be5\u5185\u5bb9\u7531AI\u5de5\u5177\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u5e76\u7ecf\u7f16\u8f91\u5ba1\u6838\u3002<\/p>\n

2025\u5e74\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u5f53\u524d\u82f1\u9551\u73af\u5883\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u5728\u964d\u606f\u4e0e\u5347\u606f\u4e4b\u95f4\u5267\u70c8\u6446\u52a8\uff0c\u4ee4\u82f1\u9551\u5927\u5e45\u9707\u8361\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u9891\u7e41\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u6d88\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u82f1\u9551\u6ce2\u52a8\u5bf9\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n

\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u62c9\u626f\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u671f\u6743\uff08options\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5bf9\u51b2\u6216\u62bc\u6ce8\u6c47\u7387\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6307\u6807\uff09\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08Monetary Policy Committee, MPC\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u5236\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u673a\u6784\uff09\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982 GBP\/USD \u7684\u4e70\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u6c47\u4ef7\u5c06\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u4e0d\u5fc5\u731c\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u663e\u793a\uff1a\u52308\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a75%\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u91ca\u653e\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u7acb\u573a\u504f\u5411\u6297\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u503e\u5411\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u6216\u66f4\u5c11\u964d\u606f\uff09\u7684\u610f\u5916\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u82f1\u9551\u53ef\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u5927\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u653f\u6cbb\u9762\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u30022025\u5e745\u6708\u5927\u9009\u540e\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4ec5\u4ee5\u5fae\u5f31\u591a\u6570\u6267\u653f\uff0c\u653f\u5c40\u4ecd\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u8d22\u653f\u8ba1\u5212\uff08fiscal plans\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7a0e\u6536\u4e0e\u5f00\u652f\u5b89\u6392\uff09\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5413\u9000\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u5e76\u7acb\u5373\u6253\u538b\u82f1\u9551\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\uff08risk premium\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u56e0\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u989d\u5916\u56de\u62a5\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u90e8\u5206\u957f\u671f\u4e70\u5bb6\u6682\u65f6\u89c2\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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