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\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8<\/h3>\n

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\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u63d0\u540d\u4ebaKevin Warsh\u547c\u5401\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5e76\u5f62\u5bb9\u8fd9\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u201c\u4f53\u5236\u6539\u53d8\u201d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6279\u8bc4\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5173\u6ce8\u5468\u4e09\u7684\u505c\u706b\u671f\u9650\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5468\u672b\u5728\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540e\u3001\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5bf9\u8bdd\u7684\u53d8\u6570\uff1b\u4f0a\u6717\u5c1a\u672a\u786e\u8ba4\u662f\u5426\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u968f\u7740\u672c\u5468\u4e09\u7f8e\u56fd\u2014\u4f0a\u6717\u505c\u706b\u671f\u9650\u903c\u8fd1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u653e\u5927\u3002VIX\uff08CBOE\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff09\u5df2\u5728\u7ea622\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u7d27\u5f20\u3002\u53ef\u5173\u6ce8\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6743\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u3001\u540c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u201c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u201d\u4f46\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u65b9\u5411\uff09\uff1b\u82e5\u8c08\u5224\u5931\u8d25\uff0cWTI\u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u6bcf\u687695\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u660e\u663e\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\u524d\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\u5e03\u5c40<\/h3>\n

Kevin Warsh\u63d0\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u957f\u671f\u653f\u7b56\u5e26\u6765\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u8fc7\u53bb\u8f83\u53ef\u9884\u671f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u504f\u5f3a\uff0cFed Funds\u671f\u8d27\uff08\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff09\u663e\u793a\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u52a0\u606f\u6982\u7387\u7ea660%\u3002\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7SOFR\u671f\u8d27\u671f\u6743\u5e03\u5c40\uff08SOFR\u4e3a\u62c5\u4fdd\u9694\u591c\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u57fa\u51c6\uff1b\u5176\u671f\u8d27\u4e0e\u671f\u6743\u5e38\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\/\u5bf9\u51b2\u5229\u7387\u53d8\u5316\uff09\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7acb\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u6307\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

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