{"id":45314,"date":"2026-04-22T16:56:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T16:56:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%b3%95%e5%85%b4%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%9a%84kit-juckes%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%8f%8a%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%bb%e5%af%bc%e5%b9%b6\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T16:56:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T16:56:22","slug":"%e6%b3%95%e5%85%b4%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%9a%84kit-juckes%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%8f%8a%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%bb%e5%af%bc%e5%b9%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e6%b3%95%e5%85%b4%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e7%9a%84kit-juckes%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%97%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%8f%8a%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%bb%e5%af%bc%e5%b9%b6\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cd5\u5174\u94f6\u884c\u7684Kit Juckes\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u53d7\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5e76\u76d6\u8fc7\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u6a2a\u76d8\u6574\u7406"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6cd5\u56fd\u5174\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\uff08Societe Generale\uff09\u5916\u6c47\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1 Kit Juckes \u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u53d7\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\uff0cEUR\/USD\uff08\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u533a\u95f4\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u88ab\u524a\u5f31\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u201c\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u201d\uff08risk aversion\uff1a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u66f4\u504f\u597d\u73b0\u91d1\u3001\u56fd\u503a\u7b49\u8f83\u5b89\u5168\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u538b\u4f4e\u5916\u6c47\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f7fG10\u8d27\u5e01\uff08\u5341\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u8d27\u5e01\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u6b27\u5143\u3001\u65e5\u5143\u3001\u82f1\u9551\u3001\u745e\u90ce\u3001\u52a0\u5143\u3001\u6fb3\u5143\u3001\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u5143\u3001\u745e\u5178\u514b\u6717\u3001\u632a\u5a01\u514b\u6717\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u7a84\u4ea4\u6613\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u4e24\u5e74\u671f\u5229\u5dee\u201d\uff08two-year rate differentials\uff1a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e24\u5e74\u671f\u5229\u7387\/\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\uff09\u6697\u793a EUR\/USD \u7ea6\u57281.14\u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5229\u7387\u7684\u666e\u904d\u9884\u6d4b\uff08consensus rate forecasts\uff1a\u591a\u6570\u673a\u6784\u7684\u5229\u7387\u9884\u4f30\uff09\u6b63\u786e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u9010\u6b65\u8d70\u54111.17\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u5f15\u7528\u5e02\u573a\u5171\u8bc6\u7684GDP\u9884\u6d4b\uff08consensus GDP forecasts\uff1a\u591a\u6570\u673a\u6784\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9884\u4f30\uff09\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a1.14\u4e0e\u9884\u671f\u589e\u957f\u76f8\u7b26\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u533a\u95f4\u8d70\u52bf\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n<p>\u4ed6\u628a\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4e0e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u516c\u5f00\u504f\u597d\u201c\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u201d\u548c\u66f4\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u8054\u7cfb\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u5f53\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e0b\u964d\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u5f31\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1 EUR\/USD \u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u56de\u52301.20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u751f\u6210\uff0c\u5e76\u7531\u7f16\u8f91\u5ba1\u6838\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0cEUR\/USD \u6b63\u88ab\u591a\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u62c9\u626f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u7ef4\u6301\u533a\u95f4\u3002\u4ee5\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u201d\uff08fundamentals\uff1a\u5229\u7387\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u589e\u957f\u7b49\u5b8f\u89c2\u6570\u636e\uff09\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5982\u5229\u5dee\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd11.14\u66f4\u5408\u7406\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4ee4\u7f8e\u5143\u96be\u4ee5\u5145\u5206\u53d1\u6325\u5176\u5f3a\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6570\u636e\u5c42\u9762\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u5143\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f EUR\/USD \u66f4\u4f4e\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd2026\u5e743\u6708\u901a\u80c0\uff08inflation\uff1a\u7269\u4ef7\u6da8\u5e45\uff09\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fbe\u52303.1%\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Federal Reserve\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u503e\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a2026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63GDP\u4ec5\u589e\u957f0.2%\uff0c\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u4f7f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08European Central Bank\uff1a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u6709\u7406\u7531\u7ee7\u7eed\u504f\u201c\u9e3d\u6d3e\/\u5bbd\u677e\u201d\uff08accommodative\uff1a\u503e\u5411\u964d\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u589e\u957f\uff09\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u660e\u663e\u201c\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u201d\uff08policy divergence\uff1a\u4e24\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565\u8003\u91cf<\/h3>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6301\u7eed\u5f3a\u8c03\u9700\u8981\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u5f62\u6210\u201c\u4e0a\u9650\u201d\uff08ceiling\uff1a\u4e0d\u6613\u5927\u5e45\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u538b\u5236\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ee5\u63d0\u632f\u51fa\u53e3\u4e3a\u76ee\u7684\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u662f\u652f\u6491 EUR\/USD \u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5e76\u63a8\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6c47\u4ef7\u56de\u52301.20\u3002\u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u4ecd\u672a\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u5347\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u6ce2\u52a8\u504f\u4f4e\u65f6\uff0c\u66f4\u9002\u5408\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u533a\u95f4\u4ea4\u6613\u201d\uff08range-trading\uff1a\u5728\u652f\u6491\u4e0e\u963b\u529b\u4e4b\u95f4\u9ad8\u629b\u4f4e\u5438\uff09\u7684\u601d\u8def\u3002\u201c\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u8d27\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff08Deutsche Bank Currency Volatility Index\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u671f\u6743\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u63a5\u8fd12025\u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u524d\u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f7f\u201c\u5356\u51fa\u671f\u6743\u201d\uff08sell options\uff1a\u6536\u53d6\u6743\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u5efa\u7acb\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6c47\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u57281.1400\u81f31.1750\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u6210\u672c\u504f\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e94\u4e3a\u201c\u7a81\u7834\u201d\uff08breakout\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u79bb\u5f00\u539f\u6709\u533a\u95f4\u5e76\u52a0\u901f\uff09\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u82e5\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u6216\u534e\u76db\u987f\u63a8\u51fa\u66f4\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4e70\u5165\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u201c\u4ef7\u5916\u201dEUR\/USD\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08out-of-the-money call options\uff1a\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u9ad8\u4e8e\u73b0\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u8f83\u4f4e\u4f46\u9700\u5927\u6da8\u624d\u83b7\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u6c47\u4ef7\u8d70\u54111.20\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e0a\u884c\u655e\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c7b\u4f3c\u60c5\u51b5\u66fe\u57282025\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\uff1a\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7acb\u573a\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff0c\u4e5f\u591a\u6b21\u88ab\u653f\u6cbb\u8a00\u8bba\u524a\u5f31\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c47\u7387\u6025\u6da8\u6025\u8dcc\u4f46\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0d\u957f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u7ecf\u6d4e\u903b\u8f91\u66f4\u660e\u786e\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u6cbb\u53d8\u91cf\u4ecd\u662f\u4e3b\u5bfc\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u7f8e\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\u90fd\u5e94\u8c28\u614e\u770b\u5f85\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u538b\u4f4e\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0cEUR\/USD\u6599\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u3002\u5229\u5dee\u6307\u54111.14\u3001\u6216\u6e10\u97601.17\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u201d\u653f\u6cbb\u63a3\u8098\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6570\u5468\u5167\u8bd51.20\uff1b\u7b56\u7565\u504f\u533a\u95f4\u4ea4\u6613\uff0b\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u671f\u6743\u9632\u7a81\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45314","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45314"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45314\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}