{"id":45670,"date":"2026-04-27T17:26:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T17:26:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88bny%ef%bc%89bob-savage%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%8c%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e9%ab%98%e4%bd%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T17:26:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T17:26:19","slug":"%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88bny%ef%bc%89bob-savage%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%8c%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e9%ab%98%e4%bd%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%ba%bd%e7%ba%a6%e6%a2%85%e9%9a%86%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88bny%ef%bc%89bob-savage%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%8c%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e9%ab%98%e4%bd%8d\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ebd\u7ea6\u6885\u9686\u94f6\u884c\uff08BNY\uff09Bob Savage\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u671f\u8d27\u8d70\u52bf\u5206\u6b67"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u671f\u8d27\u8d70\u52bf\u5206\u5316\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u503a\u5238\u4e5f\u8d70\u5f31\uff08\u610f\u601d\u662f\u503a\u5238\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3001\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u653e\u5728\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5404\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u7b56\u3001\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u4e1a\u7ee9\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u66f4\u591a\u53d7\u5468\u672b\u6d88\u606f\u504f\u6de1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u5148\u8c03\u6574\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff08\u63d0\u524d\u4e70\u5356\u3001\u51c6\u5907\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u6240\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u660e\u5929\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff08BOJ\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u5236\u5b9a\u65e5\u672c\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u5e02\u573a\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u6307\u51fa\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u539f\u6cb9\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8ddf\u7740\u901a\u80c0\u4e0e\u589e\u957f\u6570\u636e\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u5c31\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\u51b2\u51fb\uff08\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u7ed9\u51cf\u5c11\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff09\u7ed9\u51fa\u6307\u5f15\uff08\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u7ebf\u7d22\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6587\u4e2d\u63d0\u53ca\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u88ab\u63d0\u540d\u51fa\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u6ce8\u5176\u786e\u8ba4\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff08\u4efb\u547d\u9700\u7ecf\u6b63\u5f0f\u5ba1\u8bae\u901a\u8fc7\uff09\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u8fdb\u5c55\u5e76\u672a\u5e26\u6765\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u201c\u677e\u4e00\u53e3\u6c14\u201d\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\uff08S&P 500\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u578b\u80a1\u6307\u6570\uff09\u57286,200\u70b9\u4ee5\u4e0a\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u80a1\u5f3a\u52bf\u5e76\u672a\u53cd\u6620\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u504f\u8f6f\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u4ecd\u987d\u56fa\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6bcf\u687695\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea2025\u5e74\u672b\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e2d\u65ad\uff08\u4f9b\u7ed9\u53d7\u963b\uff09\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u538b\u529b\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u660e\u786e\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u624d\u4f1a\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u773c\u4e0b\u6700\u5173\u952e\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u4f1a\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\uff08\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7269\u4ef7\u6da8\u5e45\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff09\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4e3a3.8%\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u627f\u53d7\u538b\u529b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5bc6\u5207\u89c2\u5bdf\u589e\u957f\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5224\u65ad\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u5426\u5f00\u59cb\u62d6\u6162\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u7b56\u524d\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\u8c03\u6574<\/h3>\n

\u8ddd\u79bb\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\uff085\u67086\u65e5\uff09\u53ea\u5269\u4e00\u5468\u591a\uff0c\u201c\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u201d\uff08\u4ece\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff09\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u504f\u4f4e\uff0cVIX\u6307\u6570\uff08\u8861\u91cf\u6807\u666e500\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u201c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u572816\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u793a\u671f\u6743\u76f8\u5bf9\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u4e3a\u5728\u592e\u884c\u516c\u5e03\u540e\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u63d0\u524d\u5e03\u5c40\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a7a\u7a97\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u5173\u952e\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6216\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\uff08\u4ee5\u672a\u6765\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e70\u5356\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u4e0a\u505a\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565\uff08straddle\uff1a\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u4e0d\u62bc\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8003\u8651\u5230\u80a1\u5e02\u4f4d\u7f6e\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u201c\u5bf9\u51b2\u201d\uff08\u7528\u76f8\u53cd\u6216\u4fdd\u62a4\u6027\u90e8\u4f4d\u964d\u4f4e\u635f\u5931\uff09\u5e94\u5217\u4e3a\u4f18\u5148\u3002\u4e70\u5165\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6570\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put option\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\u83b7\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff09\u53ef\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u610f\u5916\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u5347\u606f\/\u7d27\u7f29\uff09\u6216\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u518d\u53d7\u51b2\u51fb\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e0b\u884c\u4fdd\u62a4\u30022025\u5e74\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u66fe\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u8f6c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u63d0\u524d\u51c6\u5907\u7c7b\u4f3c\u60c5\u5883\u66f4\u7a33\u59a5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u80a1\u7eed\u521b\u65b0\u9ad8\u4f46\u6cb9\u4ef795\u7f8e\u5143\u538b\u9876\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u503a\u5238\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u592e\u884c\u51b3\u7b56\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u8d22\u62a5\u3001\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8c08\u5224\u6210\u7126\u70b9\u3002VIX\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5148\u8c03\u4ed3\u5e76\u4ee5\u671f\u6743\u5bf9\u51b2\u3001\u5e03\u5c40\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45670\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}