{"id":46322,"date":"2026-05-05T14:30:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:30:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e9%9a%8f%e7%9d%80%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af25%e4%b8%aa%e5%9f%ba%e7%82%b9%e8%87%b34-35%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T14:30:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:30:35","slug":"%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e9%9a%8f%e7%9d%80%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af25%e4%b8%aa%e5%9f%ba%e7%82%b9%e8%87%b34-35%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e9%9a%8f%e7%9d%80%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af25%e4%b8%aa%e5%9f%ba%e7%82%b9%e8%87%b34-35%ef%bc%8c%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9053\u660e\u8bc1\u5238\u79f0\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.35%\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u5e03\u6d1b\u514b\u6697\u793a\u6216\u5c06\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6fb3\u6d32\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\uff08RBA\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff09\u628a\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08cash rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7ed9\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4e0a\u8c0325\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff08basis points\uff0c1\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9=0.01\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff09\u81f34.35%\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u3002\u8be5\u51b3\u5b9a\u4ee58\u6bd41\u8868\u51b3\u901a\u8fc7\uff1b\u884c\u957f\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u88ab\u5f62\u5bb9\u4e3a\u504f\u5411\u201c\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u201d\uff08pause\uff0c\u5373\u77ed\u671f\u5148\u89c2\u671b\u4e0d\u518d\u52a0\u606f\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\uff08AUD\/USD\uff09\u8981\u5347\u78340.72\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff08US Dollar weakness\uff0c\u6307\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u5bf9\u591a\u6570\u8d27\u5e01\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\uff09\u5185\u90e8\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u610f\u89c1\uff08hawkish dissents\uff0c\u4e3b\u5f20\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\uff08resilient US data\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u5dee\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u9650\u5236\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u5c55\u671b\u88ab\u5b9a\u8c03\u4e3a\u201c\u504f\u6b63\u9762\u201d\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u662f\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7fRBA\u57288\u6708\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u8868\u8fbe\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6587\u4e2d\u66f4\u504f\u597d\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7ebd\u5143\uff08AUD\/NZD\uff09\u8d70\u9ad8\u81f31.24\uff0c\u5e76\u503e\u5411\u5728\u56de\u8c03\u65f6\u5206\u6279\u4e70\u5165\uff08buying dips\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6587\u4e2d\u8bf4\u660e\u8be5\u5185\u5bb9\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u534f\u52a9\u4e0b\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u5e76\u7531\u7f16\u8f91\u5ba1\u9605\uff1b\u7f72\u540d\u4e3aFXStreet Insights Team\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6c47\u603b\u90e8\u5206\u5e02\u573a\u89c2\u5bdf\u4e0e\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

RBA\u91ca\u653e\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u8f83\u4e3a\u77db\u76fe\uff1a\u52a0\u606f\u540e\u53c8\u914d\u5408\u504f\u9e3d\u6d3e\uff08dovish\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u653e\u7f13\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u66f4\u91cd\u89c6\u589e\u957f\uff09\u7684\u8868\u6001\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u6fb3\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u76d8\u6574\u671f\uff08consolidation\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u533a\u95f4\u6765\u56de\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u9002\u5408\u5356\u51fa\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08selling volatility\uff0c\u7528\u671f\u6743\u4ece\u201c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u201d\u4e2d\u83b7\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728AUD\/USD\u4e0a\u505a\u7a7a\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565\uff08short strangle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5356\u51fa\u4ef7\u5916\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u4e0e\u4ef7\u5916\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff1b\u82e5\u6c47\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u533a\u95f4\u5219\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u83b7\u5229\uff09\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u4ecd\u9700\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7a81\u7136\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c31AUD\/USD\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u6709\u9650\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd2026\u5e745\u67081\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u65b0\u589e24\u4e07\u4eba\uff08robust\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff09\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u6b64\u83b7\u5f97\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u538b\u5236AUD\/USD\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u5356\u51fa\u4ef7\u5916\uff08out-of-the-money\uff0c\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u8fdc\u79bb\u73b0\u4ef7\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u8f83\u96be\u88ab\u89e6\u53d1\uff09\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u6216\u5efa\u7acb\u718a\u5e02\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08bear call spread\uff1a\u5356\u51fa\u8f83\u4f4e\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u3001\u4e70\u5165\u8f83\u9ad8\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u4ee5\u9650\u5b9a\u98ce\u9669\uff09\uff0c\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u53ef\u653e\u57280.7000\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u4e0a\u6da8\u53d7\u9650\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n

\u805a\u7126\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7ebd\u5143<\/h3>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u66f4\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u805a\u7126\u6fb3\u5143\u76f8\u5bf9\u7ebd\u5143\u7684\u5f3a\u52bf\u3002\u6fb3\u6d322026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u901a\u80c0\u4e3a\u987d\u56fa\u76843.9%\uff08stubborn\uff0c\u4e0b\u964d\u7f13\u6162\u3001\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff09\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ed9RBA\u538b\u529b\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff0c\u7ebd\u897f\u5170\u592e\u884c\uff09\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u8d70\u5f31\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u6697\u793a\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\u5df2\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff08policy divergence\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff09\u652f\u6301\u505a\u591aAUD\/NZD\uff0c\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u63a5\u8fd11.24\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u9ad8\u4e8eRBA\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0d\u80fd\u6392\u9664\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u540e\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u6216\u57288\u6708\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a\u6fb3\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e95\u90e8\u652f\u6491\uff08floor\uff0c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7a7a\u95f4\u88ab\u9650\u5236\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u76f4\u63a5\u505a\u7a7a\u6fb3\u5143\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u504f\u7a7aAUD\/USD\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u90fd\u5e94\u8bbe\u5b9a\u660e\u786e\u98ce\u9669\u8fb9\u754c\uff08defined risk profiles\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7528\u4ef7\u5dee\u7b56\u7565\u6216\u6b62\u635f\u6765\u9650\u5b9a\u6700\u5927\u4e8f\u635f\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632RBA\u7a81\u7136\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u9e70\u6d3e\uff08hawkish pivot\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u7a81\u7136\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RBA\u52a0\u606f\u81f34.35%\u4f46\u53e3\u98ce\u504f\u6682\u505c\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\u6599\u76d8\u6574\u3002AUD\/USD\u4e0a\u884c\u53d7\u9650\u3001\u53ef\u5356\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff1b\u66f4\u770b\u597d\u901a\u80c0\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u63a8\u5347AUD\/NZD\uff0c\u76ee\u68071.24\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46322\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}