{"id":46349,"date":"2026-05-05T21:25:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:25:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e7%a6%8f%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%9adxy%e5%be%98%e5%be%8a%e4%ba%8e%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e7%a7%bb%e5%8a%a8%e5%9d%87\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T21:25:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:25:53","slug":"%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e7%a6%8f%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%9adxy%e5%be%98%e5%be%8a%e4%ba%8e%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e7%a7%bb%e5%8a%a8%e5%9d%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e8%8d%b7%e5%85%b0%e5%90%88%e4%bd%9c%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%ef%bc%88rabobank%ef%bc%89%e7%ae%80%c2%b7%e7%a6%8f%e5%88%a9%ef%bc%9adxy%e5%be%98%e5%be%8a%e4%ba%8e%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e7%a7%bb%e5%8a%a8%e5%9d%87\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8377\u5170\u5408\u4f5c\u94f6\u884c\uff08Rabobank\uff09\u7b80\u00b7\u798f\u5229\uff1aDXY\u5f98\u5f8a\u4e8e\u5173\u952e\u79fb\u52a8\u5747\u7ebf\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4e0b\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5bf9\u52a0\u7801\u505a\u591a\u7f8e\u5143\u6001\u5ea6\u8c28\u614e"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rabobank \u7684 Jane Foley \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u63a5\u8fd1\u5176 100 \u65e5\u4e0e 200 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff0c\u6307\u628a\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u76f8\u52a0\u540e\u53d6\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u89c2\u5bdf\u8d8b\u52bf\uff09\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5728 98.479 \u4e0e 98.568\u3002\u5979\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c34\u5e73\u6b63\u5f62\u6210\u963b\u529b\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u8f83\u96be\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u533a\u95f4\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5e02\u573a\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u7d27\u5f20\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7ee7\u7eed\u52a0\u7801\u7f8e\u5143\u591a\u5934\uff08\u770b\u6da8\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff09\u4fdd\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n

Foley \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5468\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u6709\u8d70\u5f3a\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u56de\u5410\uff08\u628a\u6da8\u5e45\u5410\u56de\u53bb\uff09\u3002\u5979\u5c06\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u907f\u9669\u89d2\u8272\uff08\u8d44\u91d1\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u65f6\u503e\u5411\u4e70\u5165\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u5176\u9ad8\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff08\u5bb9\u6613\u5927\u91cf\u4e70\u8fdb\u5356\u51fa\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u8f83\u4f4e\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u524d\u666f\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u4ed3\u4f4d<\/h3>\n

Rabobank \u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e74\u8fd8\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u6765 3 \u5230 6 \u4e2a\u6708\u5185\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5143\u5151\u6b27\u5143\u6e29\u548c\u8d70\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

Rabobank \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u9884\u671f\u6b27\u5143\u591a\u5934\u4ed3\u4f4d\u4f1a\u56de\u5230\u53bb\u5e74\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74 EUR\/USD\uff08\u6b27\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\u5373\u4f7f\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5f3a\u70c8\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff08\u4e70\u76d8\u4e0d\u591f\u575a\u5b9a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4e0e\u5bf9\u51b2\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n

\u5bf9\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08\u4ece\u57fa\u7840\u8d44\u4ea7\u5982\u6c47\u7387\u201c\u884d\u751f\u201d\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u671f\u6743\u3001\u671f\u8d27\u3001\u8fdc\u671f\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e70\u5165\u7f8e\u5143\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call option\uff0c\u4ed8\u51fa\u6743\u5229\u91d1\u540e\u83b7\u5f97\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\/\u5230\u671f\u65f6\u4ee5\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\u5165\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u4e70\u5165 EUR\/USD \u7b49\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put option\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u4ee5\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u5356\u51fa\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91ca\u653e\u201c\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u66f4\u4e45\u201d\uff08higher for longer\uff0c\u6307\u964d\u606f\u4e0d\u6025\u3001\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u671f\u6743\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08implied volatility\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ece\u671f\u6743\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u7b97\u51fa\u7684\u672a\u6765\u6ce2\u52a8\u9884\u671f\uff09\u5df2\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3\u7ea6 7.5%\uff083 \u4e2a\u6708\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u73af\u5883\u4e00\u822c\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u504f\u5f3a\u6216\u6b27\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e EUR\/USD \u76ee\u524d\u96be\u4ee5\u7ad9\u7a33 1.0550 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff08\u6301\u7eed\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u8be5\u4ef7\u4f4d\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff09\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u53cd\u5f39\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0d\u957f\u3001\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u9650\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8fdc\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\uff08forward\uff0c\u573a\u5916\u7ea6\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u4ee5\u7279\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u4ea4\u5272\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u9501\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\uff09\u6765\u5bf9\u51b2\uff08hedge\uff0c\u7528\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\u964d\u4f4e\u6c47\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\u98ce\u9669\uff09\u4ee5\u6b27\u5143\u8ba1\u4ef7\u7684\u5e94\u6536\u6b3e\uff0c\u6216\u7ef4\u6301 EUR\/USD \u7684\u671f\u8d27\u7a7a\u5934\uff08futures short\uff0c\u900f\u8fc7\u671f\u8d27\u505a\u7a7a\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u4e3a\u7a33\u59a5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u4e0e\u533a\u57df\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u907f\u9669\u89d2\u8272\u4e5f\u5f88\u5173\u952e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u5176\u6df1\u5ea6\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff08\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u3001\u6210\u4ea4\u5bb9\u6613\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u8d27\u5e01\u96be\u4ee5\u5339\u654c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f18\u52bf\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u5bbd\u677e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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