{"id":46678,"date":"2026-05-09T04:26:34","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T04:26:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e4%bc%8a%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae%e5%b8%8c%e6%9c%9b%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8cwti%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e%ef%bc%9b%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%8e\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T04:26:34","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T04:26:34","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e4%bc%8a%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae%e5%b8%8c%e6%9c%9b%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8cwti%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e%ef%bc%9b%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e5%9c%a8%e7%be%8e%e4%bc%8a%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae%e5%b8%8c%e6%9c%9b%e5%8d%87%e6%b8%a9%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8cwti%e8%b5%b0%e4%bd%8e%ef%bc%9b%e9%9c%8d%e5%b0%94%e6%9c%a8%e5%85%b9%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e4%b8%8e\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u534f\u8bae\u5e0c\u671b\u5347\u6e29\u4e0b\uff0cWTI\u8d70\u4f4e\uff1b\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u94bb\u673a\u6570\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea"},"content":{"rendered":"

WTI\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff09\u5468\u4e94\u4e0b\u8dcc2.49%\u81f3\u6bcf\u687692.47\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u672c\u5468\u7d2f\u8ba1\u8dcc\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc77.39%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6e90\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u731c\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fd0\u8f93\u901a\u9053\uff09\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u8ffd\u8e2a\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u4f0a\u5728\u9694\u591c\u53d1\u751f\u4ea4\u706b\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u534e\u76db\u987f\u6b63\u7b49\u5f85\u5fb7\u9ed1\u5170\u5bf9\u4e00\u4efd14\u70b9\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55\uff0814-point memorandum\uff0c\u5305\u542b14\u9879\u8981\u6c42\u6216\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u6587\u4ef6\uff09\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u79f0\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u7126\u70b9\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u76f8\u5173\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 <\/p>\n

Market Drivers And Price Action<\/h3>\n

\u8d1d\u514b\u4f11\u65af\uff08Baker Hughes\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6cb9\u670d\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u53d1\u5e03\u94bb\u4e95\u6570\u636e\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94bb\u4e95\u5546\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u5468\u589e\u52a0\u6cb9\u6c14\u94bb\u673a\uff08rigs\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u94bb\u63a2\u6cb9\u6c14\u4e95\u7684\u8bbe\u5907\uff09\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u603b\u6570\u589e\u52a01\u5ea7\u81f3548\u5ea7\uff0c\u4f46\u8f83\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u51cf\u5c1130\u5ea7\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u7ea65%\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c4\u6708\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\uff08Nonfarm Payrolls\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6807\uff09\u589e\u52a0\u81f311.5\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76846.2\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\uff08University of Michigan consumer sentiment\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff095\u6708\u8dcc\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u6280\u672f\u9762\u4e0a\uff0cWTI\u5b88\u4f4f\u7ea691.98\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff08simple moving average\uff0cSMA\uff0c\u628a\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4ef7\u683c\u53d6\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u6307\u6807\uff09\u5bc6\u96c6\u533a\uff0c14\u65e5RSI\uff08\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u6da8\u8dcc\u52a8\u80fd\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff09\u7ea6\u4e3a48\u3002\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff08support\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u6b62\u8dcc\u7684\u533a\u57df\uff09\u572892.00\u201392.50\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u770b89.00\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca80.82\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u82e5\u51b2\u7a81\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u7834100\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 <\/p>\n

Risk Premium And Volatility<\/h3>\n

2025\u5e74\u4e00\u5ea6\u6de1\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\uff08geopolitical risk premium\uff0c\u56e0\u5730\u7f18\u51b2\u7a81\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u989d\u5916\u8ba1\u5165\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u5982\u4eca\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u53ea\u8981\u6ce2\u65af\u6e7e\uff08Persian Gulf\uff09\u51fa\u73b0\u4efb\u4f55\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u5feb\u901f\u4e14\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u671f\u6743\uff08options\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u8d4b\u4e88\u4e70\u5356\u6743\u5229\u800c\u975e\u4e49\u52a1\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u6765\u5bf9\u51b2\u6ce2\u52a8\uff08volatility\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6ce2\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6\uff09\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6bd4\u5355\u7eaf\u6301\u6709\u88f8\u671f\u8d27\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff08naked futures positions\uff0c\u4e0d\u5e26\u5bf9\u51b2\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u6301\u4ed3\uff09\u66f4\u7a33\u59a5\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u9762\u4ecd\u504f\u7d27\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u6cb9\u4ef7\u9ad8\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e74\u3002OPEC+\uff08OPEC\u53ca\u76df\u53cb\u4ea7\u6cb9\u56fd\u8054\u76df\uff09\u628a\u51cf\u4ea7\u5ef6\u7eed\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u8d1d\u514b\u4f11\u65af\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94bb\u673a\u6570\u4ec5605\u5ea7\uff0c\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u4f01\u4e1a\uff08shale operators\uff09\u589e\u4ea7\u8282\u594f\u66f4\u514b\u5236\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5468\u671f\u91cc\u4f9b\u5e94\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u5e94\u5f62\u6210\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u9762\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u62b5\u6d88\u4f9b\u5e94\u504f\u7d27\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5229\u591a\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3CPI\uff08Core CPI\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u98df\u54c1\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u540e\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4ecd\u9ad8\u8fbe3.8%\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff09\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5e93\u5b58\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u504f\u591a\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u8ba9\u4ea4\u6613\u66f4\u96be\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7f72EIA\uff08Energy Information Administration\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u80fd\u6e90\u6570\u636e\u673a\u6784\uff09\u5468\u4e09\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u5e93\u5b58\u610f\u5916\u4e0b\u964d420\u4e07\u6876\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684110\u4e07\u6876\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b58\u5728\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u5728\u201c\u4f9b\u5e94\u504f\u7d27\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u5b8f\u89c2\u8d70\u5f31\u201d\u4fe1\u53f7\u62c9\u626f\u4e0b\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff08derivative traders\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u671f\u6743\u4e0e\u671f\u8d27\u7b49\u5408\u7ea6\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff09\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u5229\u7528\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u505a\u591a\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u540c\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u6216\u505a\u591a\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08long strangle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u5230\u671f\u4f46\u4e0d\u540c\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u66f4\u4f4e\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5468\u6ce2\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u6269\u5927\u3002\u6709\u65b9\u5411\u5224\u65ad\u8005\uff0c\u53ef\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08call spreads\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u4e0e\u5356\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u6267\u884c\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u7528\u9650\u5b9a\u98ce\u9669\u65b9\u5f0f\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0a\u6da8\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u5730\u7f18\u51b2\u7a81\u5347\u6e29\u65f6\u4e89\u53d6\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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