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\u5468\u56db\u6b27\u6d32\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0cNZD\/USD\u5728\u8fde\u7eed\u4e09\u5929\u8d70\u4f4e\u540e\uff0c\u56de\u52300.5930\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6295\u3002\u7ebd\u5143\u53d7\u538b\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e02\u573a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u62c5\u5fc3\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u56fd\u5185**\u8d22\u653f\u538b\u529b**\uff08\u653f\u5e9c\u6536\u652f\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5403\u7d27\u3001\u8d64\u5b57\u6269\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u77ed\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u8f6c\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\uff08RBNZ\uff0c**\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u592e\u884c**\uff09\u4e00\u4efd\u5b63\u5ea6\u8c03\u67e5\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u66f4\u504f\u5f31\uff1a\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u9884\u671f**\u901a\u80c0**\uff08\u7269\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u901f\u5ea6\uff09\u66f4\u9ad8\u3001**\u5229\u7387**\u66f4\u9ad8\u3001**\u5931\u4e1a\u7387**\uff08\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u53e3\u5360\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff09\u66f4\u9ad8\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u6162\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u65b0\u897f\u5170**\u98df\u54c1\u901a\u80c0**\u6570\u636e\u4e0e**\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI**\uff08\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u666f\u6c14\uff1b\u9ad8\u4e8e50\u4ee3\u8868\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e50\u4ee3\u8868\u6536\u7f29\uff09\u524d\u4fdd\u6301\u89c2\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd1\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u7ef4\u6301\u575a\u633a\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u5cf0\u4f1a\u3002\u968f\u540e\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd4\u6708**\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e**\uff08\u53cd\u6620\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u652f\u51fa\u5f3a\u5f31\uff09\u7684\u516c\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd**PPI**\uff08Producer Price Index\uff0c**\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570**\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u4f01\u4e1a\u51fa\u5382\u4ef7\u683c\uff1b\u5e38\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u9886\u5148\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4e5f\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u30024\u6708PPI\u540c\u6bd4\u5347\u81f36.0%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e3\u6708\u76844.3%\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f4.9%\uff1b\u73af\u6bd4\u589e\u957f1.4%\uff0c\u524d\u503c0.7%\uff0c\u9884\u671f0.5%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7ebd\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u901a\u5e38\u53d7\u4ee5\u4e0b\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff1bRBNZ\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807\uff08\u901a\u80c0\u7ef4\u6301\u57281%\u20133%\uff0c\u4ee52%\u4e3a\u4e2d\u70b9\uff09\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684**\u5229\u5dee**\uff08\u4e24\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\uff09\u3002\u7ebd\u5143\u4e5f\u5e38\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u51b5\u3001\u4e73\u5236\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6574\u4f53**\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea**\uff08\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u504f\u597d\u98ce\u9669\u6216\u504f\u597d\u907f\u9669\uff09\u53d8\u5316\u4f5c\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

NZD\/USD\u867d\u4ecd\u57280.5930\u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u4f46\u7ebd\u5143\u7684\u5185\u5728\u75b2\u5f31\u76f8\u5f53\u660e\u663e\u3002RBNZ\u81ea\u5bb6\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u4e0e\u66f4\u9ad8\u5931\u4e1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u201cKiwi\u201d\uff08\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7ebd\u5143\u7684\u5e38\u7528\u79f0\u547c\uff09\u662f\u4e0d\u5229\u73af\u5883\u3002\u4ece\u56fd\u5185\u56e0\u7d20\u770b\uff0c\u8f83\u96be\u627e\u5230\u660e\u663e\u5229\u597d\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u56e0\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u504f\u5f3a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fe1\u53f7\u800c\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u7f8e\u56fdPPI\u540c\u6bd4\u8df3\u5347\u81f36.0%\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u9ecf\u6027\u5f88\u5f3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff0c**\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c**\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u4e45\u3002\u4e24\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u6b63\u5bf9NZD\/USD\u6784\u6210\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b56\u7565\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n

\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u5f3a\u5316\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5224\u65ad\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63**CPI**\uff08Consumer Price Index\uff0c**\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570**\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u5c45\u6c11\u8d2d\u4e70\u5546\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\uff09\u4ecd\u8fbe4.5%\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8eRBNZ\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u3002RBNZ\u56e0\u6b64\u628a**\u5b98\u65b9\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387**\uff08OCR\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u57285.50%\uff0c\u5e76\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u606f\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u50a8\u540c\u6837\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08\u503e\u5411\u5347\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\uff0c\u4ee4\u7ebd\u5143\u96be\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u660e\u663e\u7684**\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4f18\u52bf**\uff08\u6301\u6709\u7ebd\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u76f8\u6bd4\u7f8e\u5143\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u5229\u606f\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u9ad8\u5c42\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e5f\u503c\u5f97\u7d27\u76ef\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u610f\u5916\u8dcc\u81f349.8\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u6536\u7f29\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5bf9\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5f31\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u63a8\u52a8\u8d44\u91d1\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u654f\u611f\u7684\u7ebd\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u6743\u5e03\u5c40NZD\/USD\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4e70\u5165**\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743**\uff08put option\uff0c\u8d4b\u4e88\u5728\u5230\u671f\u524d\u4ee5\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u5356\u51fa\u6807\u7684\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\u5e76\u628a**\u884c\u6743\u4ef7**\uff08strike price\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u7ea6\u5b9a\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u8bbe\u57280.5900\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u6c47\u4ef7\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u597d\u5904\u662f\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u63a7\uff1a\u82e5\u6c47\u4ef7\u610f\u5916\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u635f\u5931\u901a\u5e38\u9650\u5b9a\u5728\u5df2\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684**\u6743\u5229\u91d1**\uff08premium\uff0c\u4e70\u671f\u6743\u6240\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u8d39\u7528\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7c7b\u4f3c\u60c5\u5f62\u57282023\u5e74\u672b\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\uff1a\u4e24\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u90fd\u6fc0\u8fdb\u5347\u606f\u540e\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u6700\u7ec8\u8dcc\u78340.5800\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u6bd4\u5f53\u65f6\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u538b\u529b\u4e0d\u51cf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5356\u51fa**\u865a\u503c\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743**\uff08out-of-the-money call option\uff0c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u9ad8\u4e8e\u73b0\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff09\u4ee5\u6536\u53d6\u6743\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u884c\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u6c47\u4ef7\u5927\u6982\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u56f0\u8d70\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

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