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\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u7eea\u53d8\u5316\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\uff08RBA\uff09\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff09\u66f4\u65e9\u964d\u606f\u6709\u5173\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6fb3\u6d32\u901a\u80c0\u8fd1\u671f\u653e\u7f13\u81f3 3.4%\uff0cRBA \u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7406\u7531\u6b63\u5728\u524a\u5f31\u3002\u5229\u5dee\u4f18\u52bf\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6301\u6709\u6fb3\u5143\u8fdb\u884c\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\uff08carry trade\uff09\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u6fb3\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e5f\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd1\u671f\u6570\u636e\u6301\u7eed\u663e\u793a\u5185\u9700\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u5bf9\u6fb3\u6d32\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u7b49\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u8dcc\u7834\u6bcf\u5428 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u6fb3\u6d32\u8d38\u6613\u6761\u4ef6\uff08terms of trade\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u6c47\u4ef7\u6784\u6210\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u9274\u4e8e\u6b64\u6b21\u5feb\u901f\u8f6c\u5411\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u8fdb\u884c\u5e03\u5c40\u3002\u4e70\u5165 AUD\/USD \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put options\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u63a7\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u628a\u63e1\u4e0b\u884c\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u504f\u4f4e\u3001\u7ea6 8.5% \u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002\u73b0\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u82e5\u660e\u786e\u8dcc\u7834 0.6500\uff0c\u5c06\u662f\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u52a0\u7801\u770b\u7a7a\u4ed3\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

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