{"id":49178,"date":"2026-06-16T11:09:21","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T11:09:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%a5%e9%93%b6%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8f%90%e6%8c%af%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8cfed%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%e6%96%99%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T11:09:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T11:09:21","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%a5%e9%93%b6%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8f%90%e6%8c%af%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8cfed%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%e6%96%99%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%9b%9e%e8%90%bd%ef%bc%8c%e6%97%a5%e9%93%b6%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8f%90%e6%8c%af%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%ef%bc%8cfed%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%e6%96%99%e5%bc%95%e5%8f%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u65e5\u94f6\u52a0\u606f\u63d0\u632f\u65e5\u5143\uff0cFED\u51b3\u8bae\u6599\u5f15\u53d1\u6ce2\u52a8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e8c\u6b27\u6d32\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0cUSD\/JPY \u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e 160.25 \u9644\u8fd1\uff1b\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\uff08BoJ\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u8868\u73b0\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u52bf\u3002BoJ \u5c06\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f3 1%\uff0c\u5e76\u91ca\u653e\u7ee7\u7eed\u6536\u7d27\u7684\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u76ee\u6807\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u5468\u4e09\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff09\u51b3\u8bae\u524d\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u201d\u5f85\u547d\u72b6\u6001\uff1b\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u8ba1 Fed \u5c06\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u533a\u95f4\u5728 3.50%\u20133.75%\uff0c\u7126\u70b9\u5c06\u843d\u5728\u4e3b\u5e2d Kevin Warsh \u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u63aa\u8f9e\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6280\u672f\u9762\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728 160.34 \u9644\u8fd1\u5f98\u5f8a\uff0c\u5728\u5b88\u4f4f 20 \u65e5 EMA\uff08159.77\uff09\u4e4b\u4e0a\u65f6\uff0c\u77ed\u7ebf\u4ecd\u7ef4\u6301\u504f\u591a\u57fa\u8c03\u3002RSI \u62a5 60.42\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u6b63\u533a\u95f4\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u8fdb\u5165\u8d85\u4e70\u3002\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u5728 20 \u65e5 EMA \u7684 159.77\uff0c\u82e5\u65e5\u7ebf\u6536\u76d8\u8dcc\u7834\u8be5\u4f4d\uff0c\u540e\u7eed\u4e0b\u63a2\u7a7a\u95f4\u5c06\u6307\u5411 5 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u4f4e\u70b9 158.60\uff1b\u4e0a\u884c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82e5\u7a81\u7834 4 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u9ad8\u70b9 160.73\uff0c\u5219 161.00 \u5c06\u8fdb\u5165\u89c6\u91ce\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u8f6c\u5411\u4e0e\u6ce2\u52a8\u524d\u666f<\/h3>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u628a\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f3 1% \u5e76\u6697\u793a\u4ecd\u6709\u52a0\u606f\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u65e5\u5143\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u53d9\u4e8b\u5df2\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u201c\u65e5\u7f8e\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u201d\u6b63\u5728\u6536\u655b\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u65b0\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u6b64\u53d8\u5316\u610f\u5473\u7740\u65e5\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u7684\u652f\u6491\u529b\u5ea6\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9650\u5236 USD\/JPY \u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u663e\u8457\u4e0a\u884c\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u5e26\u6765\u663e\u8457\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u8df3\u5347\u3002\u671f\u6743\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u76ee\u524d\u4e00\u6708\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\u7ea6\u5728 9.5% \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5728 Warsh \u4e3b\u5e2d\u58f0\u660e\u524d\u5c06\u660e\u663e\u6500\u5347\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\uff08\u5982\u8de8\u5f0f straddle\uff09\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\u6355\u6349\u53cc\u5411\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u65b0\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n<p>\u9274\u4e8e BoJ \u504f\u9e70\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u5e03\u5c40\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94 USD\/JPY \u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8 20 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf 159.77 \u4f5c\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u67a2\u7ebd\u4f4d\uff1b\u82e5\u6709\u6548\u8dcc\u7834\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u591a\u5934\u4ed3\u4f4d\u5feb\u901f\u5e73\u4ed3\u56de\u5410\uff0c\u4f7f\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u6216\u770b\u8dcc\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08put spreads\uff09\u6210\u4e3a\u8f83\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u6307\u5411 158.60\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u77ed\u7ebf\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u504f\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u82e5 Fed \u610f\u5916\u504f\u9e3d\uff0c\u52a8\u80fd\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u6c47\u4ef7\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u82e5\u7a81\u7834\u8fd1\u671f\u9ad8\u70b9 160.73\uff0c\u5c06\u6253\u5f00\u901a\u5f80 161.00 \u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff1b\u5728\u6b64\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u6765\u6355\u6349\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e25\u683c\u754c\u5b9a\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u6301\u6709 USD\/JPY \u591a\u5934\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5957\u5229\u4ea4\u6613\uff08carry trade\uff09\u5e73\u4ed3\u56de\u5410\u5982\u4eca\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5f53 BoJ \u4ece\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u8f6c\u5411\uff08\u5982\u524d\u51e0\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u6240\u793a\uff09\uff0c\u5e73\u4ed3\u53ef\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u4e14\u5267\u70c8\uff0c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u201c\u95ea\u5d29\u201d\u5f0f\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u5229\u7387\u5347\u81f3 1% \u663e\u8457\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u201c\u501f\u65e5\u5143\u3001\u4e70\u7f8e\u5143\u201d\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u4ee5\u671f\u6743\u7ba1\u7406\u9ad8\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230 160.00 \u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u4e0e\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u91cf\u540c\u6b65\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u4e3a\u7a81\u7834\u884c\u60c5\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u91c7\u7528\u98ce\u9669\u9006\u8f6c\uff08risk reversals\uff09\u6216\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangles\uff09\u7b49\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5728\u9632\u8303\u60c5\u7eea\u7a81\u53d8\u51b2\u51fb\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u65e5\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u81f31%\u5e76\u504f\u9e70\uff0cUSD\/JPY\u56de\u843d\u81f3160.25\uff1b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u524d\u6ce2\u52a8\u5f85\u7206\u3002\u5b88159.77\u4ecd\u504f\u591a\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834\u770b158.60\uff1b\u7a81\u7834160.73\u7784161\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u8de8\u5f0f\u6355\u6349\u53cc\u5411\u884c\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":48165,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49178","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49178"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49178\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49178"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49178"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49178"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}