{"id":49311,"date":"2026-06-17T22:39:50","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:39:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%ba%bd%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%b8%8b%e6%bb%91%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e8%81%9a%e7%84%a6%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%ef%bc%8c%e7%ba%bd%e5%82%a8%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T22:39:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:39:50","slug":"%e7%ba%bd%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%b8%8b%e6%bb%91%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e8%81%9a%e7%84%a6%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%ef%bc%8c%e7%ba%bd%e5%82%a8%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%ba%bd%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e4%b8%8b%e6%bb%91%ef%bc%8c%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e8%81%9a%e7%84%a6%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%86%b3%e8%ae%ae%ef%bc%8c%e7%ba%bd%e5%82%a8%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ebd\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u805a\u7126\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\uff0c\u7ebd\u50a8\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e09\uff0cNZD\/USD \u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e 0.5820 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u8f6c\u5f31\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u5f53\u65e5\u4e0b\u8dcc 0.24%\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u8ba1\u5165\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 3.5%\u20133.75% \u533a\u95f4\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u7126\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u5728\u4f1a\u540e\u9996\u6b21\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u7684\u8868\u6001\u3002\u8c28\u614e\u57fa\u8c03\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u5e76\u6253\u538b\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u66f4\u654f\u611f\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff1b\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u6709\u5173\u8a00\u8bba\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8c08\u5224\u671d\u548c\u5e73\u534f\u8bae\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u4ecd\u653e\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8c08\u5224\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u9700\u6c42\u6709\u6240\u964d\u6e29\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\uff1a\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u6237\u8d64\u5b57\u4ece\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u7684 7.1 \u4ebf\u7ebd\u5143\u6269\u5927\u81f3 10.1 \u4ebf\u7ebd\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u7565\u597d\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0cWestpac McDermott Miller \u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u8dcc\u81f3 80.4\uff0c\u4e3a 2023 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u5bb6\u5ead\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u3002\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5df2\u91ca\u653e\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 7 \u6708 8 \u65e5\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\u5b98\u65b9\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08OCR\uff09\u6216\u5728\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u5347\u81f3\u7ea6 2.85%\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u5468\u4e09\u7a0d\u665a\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6 GDP \u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u524d\u540e\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u4e34\u8fd1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u504f\u5411\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee4 NZD\/USD \u5728 0.5820 \u9644\u8fd1\u627f\u538b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u77ed\u671f\u9650\u8de8\u5f0f\u7b56\u7565 short-dated straddle\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u516c\u544a\u540e\u65e0\u8bba\u65b9\u5411\u5982\u4f55\u90fd\u6355\u6349\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u65e6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8def\u5f84\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u56de\u843d\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9ad8\u5f71\u54cd\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8fc7\u540e\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5f80\u5f80\u5feb\u901f\u201c\u584c\u9677\u201d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e26\u6765\u901a\u8fc7\u65f6\u95f4\u4ef7\u503c\u8870\u51cf\u83b7\u5229\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u82e5 NZD\/USD \u8fdb\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5356\u51fa\u671f\u6743\u6743\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u56de\u5f52\u5e38\u6001\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u4e0e NZD\/USD \u524d\u666f<\/h3>\n<p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u662f\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u4e0e\u4fdd\u6301\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u3002\u9694\u591c\u6307\u6570\u6389\u671f\uff08OIS\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u8ba1\u5165\uff1aRBNZ \u5728 7 \u6708 8 \u65e5\u52a0\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 85%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u80cc\u666f\u4e3a\u7ebd\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5e95\u5c42\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u5206\u5316\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a NZD\/USD \u5728 7 \u6708\u524d\u540e\u5177\u5907\u504f\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u770b\u591a\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u8fd1\u671f\u4ecd\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728 3.1% \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u91ca\u653e\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u7b56\u5bbd\u677e\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97 RBNZ \u9884\u671f\u52a0\u606f\u6210\u4e3a\u66f4\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e70\u5165 8 \u6708\u5230\u671f\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call options\uff09\u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u63a7\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5e03\u5c40\u201c\u7ebd\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u201d\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u524d\u98ce\u9669\u964d\u6e29\uff0cNZD\/USD\u8dcc\u81f30.5820\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u83b7\u652f\u6491\u3002\u7ebd\u897f\u5170\u4fe1\u5fc3\u521b\u65b0\u4f4e\u4f46RBNZ\u62167\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u7b56\u7565\uff1a\u77ed\u8de8\u6355\u6349\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4e8b\u540e\u5356\u6ce2\u6536\u79df\uff0c8\u6708\u4e70Call\u5e03\u5c40\u7ebd\u5143\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":48196,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49311"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49311\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48196"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsmy.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}