Commerzbank’s Economic Research reports a 7.8% increase in German industrial orders, indicating recovery.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Feb 6, 2026
    **Positive Economic Signals Ahead** This article was created with the help of AI and reviewed by an editor. It comes from the FXStreet Insights Team, which shares valuable market insights from various analysts. A big jump in German industrial orders for December 2025 is a promising sign that we should pay attention to. The 7.8% increase is boosted by some large orders, but it still shows that the industrial downturn affecting the economy for much of 2025 might be coming to an end. This hints at a possible recovery and makes us rethink our pessimistic view of some European assets. **Bullish Outlook for the German DAX Index** We should consider taking bullish positions on the German DAX index, which rose over 8% in the last quarter of 2025. This industrial data supports the idea of continued growth into the first quarter of 2026. Derivatives traders might want to buy call options on DAX futures that expire in March or April to take advantage of this expected rise. This economic strength is also good news for the Euro. After stabilizing around 1.08 against the US dollar in January 2026, the EUR/USD pair now has a reason to climb higher. We see a chance to buy EUR/USD futures contracts or purchase call options, aiming for a potential rise toward the 1.10 level in the coming weeks. This data also affects our view on the European Central Bank’s policies. With German industry showing signs of recovery and Eurozone inflation in January 2026 at 2.3%, the pressure on the ECB to lower interest rates decreases. We could take action by selling German Bund futures, expecting that better economic prospects will lead to higher bond yields and lower prices. However, we need to be careful since the main number was affected by big, volatile orders. This uncertainty might create opportunities for selling volatility, such as taking short positions on VSTOXX futures. This strategy could be successful if the market continues to rise steadily without major disruptions, and that scenario seems more probable now. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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