Crude oil stocks in the United States rise more than expected, defying earlier forecasts

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 3, 2025
    The United States Energy Information Administration has reported an increase in crude oil stocks, rising by 0.574 million barrels. This is surprising, as analysts expected a decrease of 1.9 million barrels. This rise indicates a shift away from what the market predicted. In financial markets, the EUR/USD is gaining strength due to disappointing US labor data. There is now a 90% chance that interest rates will be cut. Additionally, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 420 points on hopes of lower rates.

    Gold And Ripple Market Dynamics

    Gold remains strong, trading above $4,200 per ounce, thanks to a weakening US Dollar. Ripple’s XRP is around $2.17, gaining ground with ongoing ETF investments. In Japan, the 2026 ‘Sanaenomics’ plan aims to improve economic growth and stabilize inflation, although it may have unexpected impacts. A complete guide is available to help you choose the best brokers in 2025, highlighting factors like low spreads, high leverage, and suitable platforms. This information is for educational purposes, stressing the importance of research and understanding risks before investing. FXStreet and its authors do not guarantee error-free information, underscoring the need for personal research and risk management in investment practices. The unexpected rise in crude oil inventories, showing a surplus of over half a million barrels instead of a predicted decrease, suggests declining demand. Even so, oil prices are rising, which indicates that the market is focused on other factors right now, mainly the sharp drop in the US dollar that makes oil cheaper for foreign buyers.

    The Federal Reserve’s Impact On Markets

    For the next few weeks, the key issue is the market’s strong belief that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, with odds now at 90%. This belief is driving the US dollar down, with the dollar index (DXY) recently dropping below 101 for the first time since summer 2025. Derivative traders should brace for ongoing dollar weakness if upcoming data supports this outlook. This situation is fueling a significant rally in stocks, as lower interest rates make them more appealing. It’s worth considering strategies that take advantage of this upward trend in indices like the Dow Jones while being prepared for a possible sharp reversal. The upcoming US employment report on Thursday is crucial; it could either boost this rally or halt it. Gold is a clear beneficiary in this scenario, holding above $4,200 per ounce as the weak dollar and expectations for rate cuts reduce the cost of holding the metal. A similar situation boosted precious metals during the Federal Reserve’s policy shift back in 2024. Strategies targeting further gains in gold could be effective if the labor market data is weak. All eyes are now on the US employment data, which will be vital for determining market trends as the year ends. This heightened focus follows last month’s report showing US job openings fell to 8.5 million, the lowest in two years, reinforcing the narrative of a slowing economy. Another disappointing figure would likely solidify expectations for a rate cut and boost current trends across different asset classes. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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