Details on FX option expiries for the New York cut at 10:00 Eastern Time

    by VT Markets
    /
    Sep 30, 2025

    Spotlight on September 30, 2025 Expiries

    FX option expiries for 30 September NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time show significant amounts. Key EUR/USD expiries include: – 1.1500 – 1.3 billion – 1.1600 – 2.2 billion – 1.1605 – 1.2 billion – 1.1695 – 1.3 billion – 1.1700 – 1 billion – 1.1800 – 2.5 billion – 1.1850 – 1.8 billion – 1.1925 – 1.5 billion – 1.2000 – 6.6 billion For USD/JPY, expiries are at: – 146.35 – 660 million – 148.00 – 1.3 billion – 150.00 – 606 million In USD/CHF, expiries are: – 0.7880 – 630 million – 0.8200 – 883 million AUD/USD expiries are at: – 0.6415 – 941 million – 0.6595 – 598 million – 0.6600 – 963 million NZD/USD has a significant expiry at: – 0.5785 – 1 billion EUR/GBP shows: – 0.8760 – 1.3 billion This information includes forward-looking statements and carries risks. It is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Always do your own research before making financial choices, as these decisions carry risks, including the chance of losing your entire investment. Today, September 30, 2025, we have a major EUR 6.6 billion option expiry at the EUR/USD 1.2000 strike price. This level might pull the spot price towards it as we approach the 10:00 AM New York cut. After the recent weaker US Non-Farm Payroll report, sellers may attempt to protect this significant barrier. Once these expiries are cleared, we’ll focus on upcoming inflation data to guide the market in October. The cluster of expiries between 1.1800 and 1.2000 could shape the trading range ahead. US core inflation has stuck around 2.7% year-over-year in Q2 2025, stopping the Federal Reserve from easing further.

    Key Levels for USD/JPY and AUD/USD

    For USD/JPY, the USD 1.3 billion expiry at 148.00 is essential to monitor. This area has become crucial as it approaches the psychological 150.00 level, where the Ministry of Finance intervened in 2024. Thus, any continued rise might be limited by option-related selling and the possibility of official action. The Australian dollar also shows a strong concentration of options expiring, with close to AUD 1 billion at the 0.6600 strike. The Reserve Bank of Australia has taken a more hawkish stance than many counterparts in 2025, providing solid support for the currency. These expiries may strengthen support around the 0.6600 level in the short term. In the weeks ahead, expect increased volatility after these significant expiries pass. The pinning effect can create pressure that often releases in the days following a major expiry. Traders might want to explore strategies that benefit from potential breakouts, especially with central bank meetings coming up in late October. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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