GBP/USD rises as US PPI data fuels rate cut optimism and Trump suggests changes

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 17, 2025
    The GBP/USD pair has reversed direction and is rallying. This change is driven by recent data from the US Producer Price Index, which raises hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Meanwhile, UK consumer inflation has exceeded expectations, with the pair trading at 1.3454, a 0.55% increase. The Pound Sterling is gaining against major currencies following the unexpectedly high UK Consumer Price Index for June. Despite this gain, the GBP/USD pair remains below 1.3400, near a multi-week low, indicating it could drop further.

    Market Reactions To US Dollar Pressure

    The US Dollar faced sudden pressure, providing relief to riskier assets. This helped the EUR/USD recover from a recent dip. Gold prices also rose, nearing three-week highs because of the US Dollar’s wider pullback. Ripple’s XRP has moved slightly higher, aiming for new highs, thanks to strong support levels. In China, GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the second quarter, but investment and retail sales are slowing down, which raises caution. Trading in foreign exchange carries high risks, as leverage can amplify both profits and losses. Potential traders should evaluate their experience and risk tolerance before entering the forex market. The current market reflects a divergence in central bank policies. Recently, US inflation cooled to a 3.3% annual rate in May, indicating that the Federal Reserve could be moving closer to cutting rates. This makes holding US Dollars less appealing for the time being.

    Uncertain Outlook For Pound Sterling

    This situation creates uncertainty for the Pound Sterling, despite its strength. While UK inflation has dropped to the Bank of England’s 2.0% target, this complicates their ability to cut rates as quickly as the US. We expect this divergence to lead to significant volatility, making options strategies that benefit from large price swings in GBP/USD more attractive than betting on a single direction. The overall weakness in the dollar is a trend that traders should closely watch. This pullback has boosted Gold prices, which recently traded above $2,330 per ounce, reinforcing Gold’s classic inverse relationship with the dollar. We recommend long positions in gold derivatives as a sensible hedge against further declines in the dollar. We are proceeding with caution due to mixed signals from China. Recent May data showed a slight improvement in retail sales, while industrial production growth slowed to 5.6%, falling short of expectations. This weakness in a key global growth area could limit gains in risk-sensitive assets like the Euro. For more speculative assets such as Ripple, we suggest a disciplined approach. While this digital currency has shown resilience, the uncertain global economy requires strict risk management. We recommend using strict stop-loss orders, as Ripple’s price is highly sensitive to changes in market sentiment and regulatory news. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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