In December, US 1-year consumer inflation expectations hit 4.2%, exceeding predictions.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 19, 2025
    The 1-year consumer inflation expectations in the United States increased to 4.2% in December, just above the predicted 4.1%. In related updates, silver prices, represented as XAG/USD, rose to about $67.50, and gold climbed to $4,350 due to safe-haven demand, even with a strong US dollar. In other markets, USD/JPY reached a one-month high as the yen fell after a rate hike by the Bank of Japan. Meanwhile, GBP/USD settled below 1.3400 as traders reassessed the Bank of England’s policies. Gold stayed under $4,350, ready for modest weekly gains as the markets geared up for the holiday season.

    Cryptocurrency Market Trends

    In the cryptocurrency sector, Bitcoin showed a slight increase, trading over $88,000. This boost also helped altcoins like Ethereum and XRP recover after a turbulent week. XRP experienced a short-term surge above $2.00, driven by the highest ETF inflows since early December. Looking ahead, discussions focus on how continued soft inflation may affect the Federal Reserve’s policies. November data suggested easing price pressures. The broader market is analyzing how inflation data might change future expectations and influence policy shifts. With one-year inflation expectations hitting 4.2%, the market is delaying its timeline for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Fed fund futures now predict fewer than two cuts for all of 2026, a big shift from the more optimistic outlook seen in autumn 2025. This indicates we should consider trades that benefit from a “higher for longer” interest rate scenario.

    Opportunities In Currency Markets

    The differing policies of central banks create clear opportunities in currency markets. With the Bank of England recently cutting rates, the interest rate gap significantly favors the US Dollar over the Pound Sterling. We should look at options strategies that profit from ongoing USD strength against the pound, aiming for the low 1.30s for GBP/USD. Despite the strong dollar, gold’s stability near $4,350 suggests that fears of high inflation remain. Silver has also reached new all-time highs, indicating a persistent demand for hard assets as a hedge. Given these high prices, we should consider using call spreads on precious metals ETFs to take advantage of further upside potential while limiting risks. As we approach the year-end, holiday trading can cause thinner liquidity and more significant price fluctuations. The VIX index has been rising from its lows and is currently above 17, indicating that traders are seeking protection against potential volatility in early 2026. We should consider buying inexpensive, out-of-the-money options on major indices to safeguard our portfolios against unexpected market shifts. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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