In January, South Korea’s trade balance exceeded expectations, reaching $8.74 billion instead of the projected $4.6 billion.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Feb 1, 2026
    South Korea achieved a trade surplus of $8.74 billion in January, significantly higher than the $4.6 billion that analysts predicted. This strong performance is due to high demand for exports, which strengthened in the current global economy. A significant trade surplus shows that South Korea’s trade situation is stable, particularly in key sectors like technology and automotive. This could influence the country’s economy and future monetary policy.

    Global Trade Tensions

    As global trade tensions continue, people are closely watching South Korea’s ability to keep a positive trade balance. Boosting export performance is crucial for maintaining economic growth, especially with external challenges. This January trade surplus, almost double what was expected, is a positive sign for South Korean assets. The numbers confirm the strength we noticed in tech and auto exports during the latter half of 2025. In the near future, we can expect this strength to have a real impact on the market. For currency traders, this report puts immediate pressure on the USD/KRW exchange rate. The pair has had difficulty falling below the 1300 level, but this strong data might give the Korean Won a chance to strengthen. We might consider strategies that benefit from a stronger Won, such as buying put options on the USD/KRW pair.

    The Impact on Korean Assets

    This news is also a positive development for the KOSPI index, which has already risen over 5% since the start of the year due to optimism around semiconductor demand. The export data supports this rise and suggests further potential gains for major companies like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. We could think about increasing our bullish positions using call options on the KOSPI 200. This strong growth makes the situation more complex for the Bank of Korea, which has kept its policy rate at 3.50% for over a year. With January inflation remaining high at 2.9%, above the target, the central bank has less incentive to cut rates in its next meeting. This could lead to increased volatility in interest rates, making options on Korean bond futures an appealing strategy. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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